Minnesota
6th West58-39
Oklahoma City
1st West83-21
Minnesota @ Oklahoma City picks
Paycom Center
MIN vs OKC Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Rudy Gobert o6.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 9.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rudy Gobert has tallied 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 87th percentile.. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.. The matchup with Isaiah Hartenstein lands in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs compiling a whopping 13.8 points per game this year.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.. The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game (100th percentile).
Points Scored

Naz Reid o8.5 Points Scored (-122)
Projection 11.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 5.5 per game this year.. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.. Naz Reid has made 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted overall this season.
Points Scored

Luguentz Dort o7.5 Points Scored (-118)
Projection 9.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Luguentz Dort has converted 3.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season with the home court advantage.. Luguentz Dort has averaged 28.8 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.. As it relates to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 126.2 points per game at home ranks strongest in the league over the last 25 games.. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 threes per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a strong matchup.. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Points Scored

Isaiah Hartenstein o6.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 7.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 126.2 points per game at home ranks strongest in the league over the last 25 games.. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.0 3-point shots per game (75th percentile).. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.. Isaiah Hartenstein has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 34.2% higher than he's converted overall this season when playing at home.. Isaiah Hartenstein should see a rise in productivity for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.
Points Scored

Mike Conley o5.5 Points Scored (-136)
Projection 7.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.. Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.
Total Rebounds

Rudy Gobert o8.5 Total Rebounds (+105)
Projection 9.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rudy Gobert has averaged 3.6 offensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.. Rudy Gobert has tallied 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 87th percentile.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Total Assists

Alex Caruso o2.5 Total Assists (+140)
Projection 3.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.. Alex Caruso will likely get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.
MIN vs OKC Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks72% picking Minnesota vs Oklahoma City to go Over
Total PicksMIN 478, OKC 190
Total
Over
Under