Tonight's marquee NBA game is undoubtedly the San Antonio Spurs vs. the Detroit Pistons, with both teams riding extended win streaks.
We ran our NBA player prop projections to see where the lines don’t quite match the numbers.
If you’re locking in your NBA picks, these Spurs vs. Pistons predictions are the spots where the model sees value on Monday, February 23.
Spurs vs Pistons computer picks for February 22
| Champagnie o7.5 points -112 |
Thompson o8.5 points -125 |
| Wembanyama o23.5 points -115 |
Cunningham u27.5 points -110 |
| Vassell o1.5 assists +100 |
Harris o5.5 rebounds +115 |
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Spurs computer picks
Julian Champagnie Over 7.5 points (-112)
Projection: 9.1 points
Julian Champagnie doesn’t need plays drawn up for him to clear this number. A few catch-and-shoot looks, and one trip in transition put him well on pace. The model has Champagnie north of nine points, giving this a comfortable margin Over 7.5.
He's gone Over this number in seven of his last nine games.
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Victor Wembanyama Over 23.5 points (-115)
Projection: 24.8 points
Victor Wembanyama carries enough usage to live in the mid-20s most nights. He scores inside, stretches the floor, and gets to the line, which keeps his floor high. The projection puts Wembanyama nearly a full bucket above this line.
He's gone Over this number in five of eight February games.
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Devin Vassell Over 1.5 assists (+100)
Projection: 2.1 assists
Devin Vassell only needs two assists to cash this, and that’s well within his normal role. With the ball in his hands consistently, a couple of simple kick-outs or drive-and-dish reads get him there. The model gives Vassell a solid edge at even money.
He's gone Over this number in three straight and in five of his last six.
Pistons computer picks
Ausar Thompson Over 8.5 points (-125)
Projection: 10.6 points
Ausar Thompson scores more on activity than on isolation. Cuts, offensive boards, and transition chances add up quickly. The projection has Thompson clearing double digits, creating separation from this 8.5 line.
Cade Cunningham Under 27.5 points (-110)
Projection: 25.5 points
Cade Cunningham is capable of a 30-point night, but the model points toward a mid-20s output. If the defense crowds him and forces the ball elsewhere, Cunningham’s scoring dips just enough to stay Under.
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Tobias Harris Over 5.5 rebounds (+115)
Projection: 5.9 rebounds
Tobias Harris logs steady minutes and spends enough time around the paint to flirt with six boards. At plus money, the projection gives Harris a small but playable edge Over this number.
He's gone Over 5.5 boards in three straight and in five of the last six.
How to watch Spurs vs Pistons tonight
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Monday, February 23, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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