Spurs vs Pistons Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for February 23

Our NBA player prop projections break down the top Spurs vs. Pistons predictions and highlight the NBA picks where the model shows a clear edge.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Feb 23, 2026 • 13:22 ET • 4 min read
San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama (1) drives to the basket.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama (1) drives to the basket.

Tonight's marquee NBA game is undoubtedly the San Antonio Spurs vs. the Detroit Pistons, with both teams riding extended win streaks.

We ran our NBA player prop projections to see where the lines don’t quite match the numbers.

If you’re locking in your NBA picks, these Spurs vs. Pistons predictions are the spots where the model sees value on Monday, February 23.

Spurs vs Pistons computer picks for February 22

Spurs Spurs Pistons Pistons
Champagnie o7.5 points 
-112
Thompson o8.5 points 
-125
Wembanyama o23.5 points 
-115
Cunningham u27.5 points 
-110
Vassell o1.5 assists 
+100
Harris o5.5 rebounds 
+115

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Spurs computer picks

Julian Champagnie Over 7.5 points (-112)

Projection: 9.1 points

Julian Champagnie doesn’t need plays drawn up for him to clear this number. A few catch-and-shoot looks, and one trip in transition put him well on pace. The model has Champagnie north of nine points, giving this a comfortable margin Over 7.5.

He's gone Over this number in seven of his last nine games. 

🔥 Bet Champagnie Now at bet365!

Victor Wembanyama Over 23.5 points (-115)

Projection: 24.8 points

Victor Wembanyama carries enough usage to live in the mid-20s most nights. He scores inside, stretches the floor, and gets to the line, which keeps his floor high. The projection puts Wembanyama nearly a full bucket above this line.

He's gone Over this number in five of eight February games.  

🔥 Bet Wembanyama Now at bet365!

Devin Vassell Over 1.5 assists (+100)

Projection: 2.1 assists

Devin Vassell only needs two assists to cash this, and that’s well within his normal role. With the ball in his hands consistently, a couple of simple kick-outs or drive-and-dish reads get him there. The model gives Vassell a solid edge at even money.

He's gone Over this number in three straight and in five of his last six. 

🔥 Bet Vassell Now at bet365!


Pistons computer picks

Ausar Thompson Over 8.5 points (-125)

Projection: 10.6 points

Ausar Thompson scores more on activity than on isolation. Cuts, offensive boards, and transition chances add up quickly. The projection has Thompson clearing double digits, creating separation from this 8.5 line.

🔥 Bet Thompson Now at bet365!

Cade Cunningham Under 27.5 points (-110)

Projection: 25.5 points

Cade Cunningham is capable of a 30-point night, but the model points toward a mid-20s output. If the defense crowds him and forces the ball elsewhere, Cunningham’s scoring dips just enough to stay Under.

🔥 Bet Cunningham Now at bet365!

Tobias Harris Over 5.5 rebounds (+115)

Projection: 5.9 rebounds

Tobias Harris logs steady minutes and spends enough time around the paint to flirt with six boards. At plus money, the projection gives Harris a small but playable edge Over this number.

He's gone Over 5.5 boards in three straight and in five of the last six. 

🔥 Bet Harris Now at bet365!

How to watch Spurs vs Pistons tonight

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Monday, February 23, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Peacock

Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile is a betting analyst with over 13 years of experience breaking down soccer betting markets, with additional coverage across the WNBA and NFL. He focuses on finding numbers that are slow to adjust — whether it’s due to scheduling spots, player usage, or recent form — and explaining why a line is worth playing. His work has appeared across major betting and sports media platforms, including Covers, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid, where he’s delivered sharp analysis on both mainstream and niche markets. At Covers, he contributes to major tournament coverage and daily betting content, with a particular focus on soccer. He also runs the Game Day Wagers YouTube channel, where he shares daily picks and betting insights tailored for serious bettors.

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