Best NBA Player Props Today for February 23: Duncan Goes Nuts

The Spurs and Pistons highlight a new week of NBA action. And while this game is full of star power, my NBA player prop pick for this matchup focuses on Pistons' key role player and sharp shooter, Duncan Robinson.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 23, 2026 • 11:49 ET • 4 min read
Duncan Robinson Detroit Pistons NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Duncan Robinson (55) drives past a Phoenix defender.

The new week of NBA action starts with just a trio of games, but we open with a great one, as Cade Cunningham and the Detroit Pistons host Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs.

I’ve found my favorite NBA player prop for that exciting matchup, it’s in a place you may not expect. That and NBA picks for the other two games, on Monday, February 23, below.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Pistons Duncan Robinson Over 10.5 Points -120
Grizzlies Ty Jerome Over 17.5 Points -120
Rockets Reed Sheppard   Over 3.5 Assists +102

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Prop #1: Duncan Robinson Over 10.5 Points

-120 at bet365

The Detroit Pistons host the San Antonio Spurs in a matchup between two of the NBA’s best teams, and while this game is full of star power, I’m backing a role player to have a big impact.

Duncan Robinson has been a great secondary scorer for Detroit, averaging 12.3 points per game, and the Pistons' sharpshooter is on fire. Robinson is putting up 15.3 points per game while shooting 47.3% from 3-point range over his last seven.

And while the Spurs are a strong defensive team, they could be better on the perimeter, ranking 16th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage.

  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Peacock

Prop #2: Ty Jerome Over 17.5 Points

-120 at bet365

Reliable bucket getters are few and far between for the Memphis Grizzlies.

That is, until Ty Jerome returned. The journeyman shooting guard is averaging 19.3 points while shooting 39.5% from beyond the arc.

Sportsbooks have caught on, but it’s not enough for this matchup against the Sacramento Kings

The Kings are bad, and it’s only gotten worse. They rank dead last in defensive rating and are next-to-last in opponent points allowed per game in February. 

Jerome has topped this number in five of seven games, including going for 28 against the Kings just back on February 4.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCSCA, FanDuel Sports Network Southeast-Memphis

Prop #3: Reed Sheppard Over 3.5 Assists

+102 at bet365

While we start the night with a great matchup, the nightcap is the opposite, as the Houston Rockets are massive home favorites against the Utah Jazz.

The Rockets obviously have edges all over the court, but my best bet is Reed Sheppard to go Over 3.5 assists.

The sophomore guard is averaging 4.0 assists per game over his last five, topping this number three times during that stretch.

The Jazz rank dead last in defensive rating and opponent assists per possession, and in a mismatch like this, Sheppard should get a longer run.

  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Peacock

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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