Oklahoma City
1st West83-21
Minnesota
6th West58-39
Oklahoma City @ Minnesota picks
Target Center
OKC vs MIN Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Rudy Gobert o6.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 9.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 97th percentile for shooting proficiency with an outstanding 65.2% rate this year.. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile.. The number of points posted against Isaiah Hartenstein has been quite high (13.8 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Points Scored

Luguentz Dort o7.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 9.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Luguentz Dort has attempted 5.0 treys per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.. Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.
Total Rebounds

Anthony Edwards u7.5 Total Rebounds (+116)
Projection 6.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Anthony Edwards has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season.. The least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
Total Rebounds

Isaiah Hartenstein o7.5 Total Rebounds (+100)
Projection 9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.
Total Rebounds

Rudy Gobert o8.5 Total Rebounds (+102)
Projection 9.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rudy Gobert has averaged 4.0 offensive rebounds per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile.. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.. Rudy Gobert will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production across the board.
Total Rebounds

Julius Randle o6.5 Total Rebounds (-130)
Projection 8.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year.. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.. Julius Randle will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.
Total Assists

Isaiah Hartenstein o2.5 Total Assists (+155)
Projection 2.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Isaiah Hartenstein has totaled 3.9 assists per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.
Total Assists

Mike Conley o3.5 Total Assists (+115)
Projection 4.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Conley has compiled 4.3 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category in recent games.. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.. Mike Conley figures to get a boost in production for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.
Total Assists

Alex Caruso o2.5 Total Assists (+145)
Projection 2.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.
OKC vs MIN Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks69% picking Oklahoma City vs Minnesota to go Over
Total PicksOKC 469, MIN 214
Total
Over
Under