Minnesota
6th West58-39
Oklahoma City
1st West83-21
Minnesota @ Oklahoma City picks
Paycom Center
MIN vs OKC Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Mike Conley o6.5 Points Scored (-106)
Projection 8.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 88th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a terrific 42.8% rate this year.. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a favorable matchup.. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).. This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.
Points Scored

Anthony Edwards o24.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 28.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards measures in the 96th percentile for shots from the field hit while at home, averaging a colossal 8.4 per game this year.. Relative to last year's 2.5 mark, Anthony Edwards's three-pointers hit have surged this year to 4.0 per game.. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (44.1%).. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
Points Scored

Rudy Gobert o7.5 Points Scored (-128)
Projection 9.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The matchup vs. Isaiah Hartenstein is a positive one; he has given up an enormous 14.2 points per game when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).. Rudy Gobert has attempted 3.8 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Isaiah Hartenstein has been very high (4.1 foul shot attempts per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Total Rebounds

Julius Randle o7.5 Total Rebounds (+105)
Projection 9.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
3-Pointers Made

Mike Conley o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+124)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 88th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a terrific 42.8% rate this year.. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a favorable matchup.. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
Total Assists

Rudy Gobert o0.5 Total Assists (-110)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
Total Assists

Chet Holmgren o1.5 Total Assists (+120)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home.. Chet Holmgren will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production across the board.
Total Assists

Jaden McDaniels o1.5 Total Assists (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
MIN vs OKC Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks66% picking Minnesota vs Oklahoma City to go Over
Total PicksMIN 467, OKC 239
Total
Over
Under