Final May 1
NY 116 1.5 o213.0
DET 113 -1.5 u213.0
Final May 1
DEN 105 6.0 o212.5
LAC 111 -6.0 u212.5
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Memphis @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jalen Pickett Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Pickett
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jalen Pickett has converted 51.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Jalen Pickett has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Jalen Pickett has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.7 higher than he's played overall this year. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Jalen Pickett

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Jalen Pickett has converted 51.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Jalen Pickett has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Jalen Pickett has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.7 higher than he's played overall this year. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-118

Ja Morant has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup. Ja Morant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

Ja Morant

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

Ja Morant has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup. Ja Morant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has made 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court. Peyton Watson has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 7.6 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Peyton Watson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Peyton Watson has made 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court. Peyton Watson has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 7.6 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jamal Murray has notched 25.8 points per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 5.1 more than he's notched in all games this year at home. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.7 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted from three overall this year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has tallied 35.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Jamal Murray has notched 25.8 points per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 5.1 more than he's notched in all games this year at home. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.7 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted from three overall this year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has tallied 35.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Santi Aldama has sunk 4.6 buckets per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama measures in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 5.0 per game this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Santi Aldama

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Santi Aldama has sunk 4.6 buckets per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama measures in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 5.0 per game this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
center C • Memphis
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 2.7 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 2.7 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-118

Aaron Gordon has put up 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 higher than he's put up overall this year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Aaron Gordon has put up 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 higher than he's put up overall this year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Christian Braun has made 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing at home. Christian Braun has tallied 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Christian Braun has made 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing at home. Christian Braun has tallied 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup with Zach Edey ranks in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs registering a mere 13.2 points per game this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the NBA with only 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.5
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.5

The matchup with Zach Edey ranks in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs registering a mere 13.2 points per game this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the NBA with only 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-128

Zach Edey has sunk 75.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 15.9% higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Zach Edey has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Zach Edey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Zach Edey has sunk 75.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 15.9% higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Zach Edey has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied a lowly 18.4 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 27.8 minutes per game last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The matchup against the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league). Vince Williams Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied a lowly 18.4 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 27.8 minutes per game last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The matchup against the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league). Vince Williams Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 60.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 60.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. With respect to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 122.9 points per game as the home team comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
+102

Desmond Bane has converted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Desmond Bane has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have tallied 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Desmond Bane has converted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Desmond Bane has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have tallied 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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