Miami 10th East37-49
New Orleans 14th West21-61

Miami @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Jose Alvarado
J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 102.3 points per game as the home team rates weakest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Pelicans will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). The matchup against Miami may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are on the road (4th-least in the league).

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 102.3 points per game as the home team rates weakest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Pelicans will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). The matchup against Miami may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are on the road (4th-least in the league).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

Andrew Wiggins
A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 7.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Andrew Wiggins has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 7.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Andrew Wiggins has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds

Tyler Herro has attempted 20.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Tyler Herro has attempted 20.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

Kel'el Ware
K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 62.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 28.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing away from home. Kel'el Ware has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 62.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 28.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing away from home. Kel'el Ware has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Antonio Reeves Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Antonio Reeves
A. Reeves
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Antonio Reeves has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 18.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Antonio Reeves stands to see a rise in production for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Antonio Reeves

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Antonio Reeves has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 18.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Antonio Reeves stands to see a rise in production for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

Davion Mitchell
D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has made 52.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Davion Mitchell has successfully made 49.6% of his treys over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year on the road. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Davion Mitchell has made 52.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Davion Mitchell has successfully made 49.6% of his treys over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year on the road. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

Alec Burks
A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has made 2.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Alec Burks has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, making this a good matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Alec Burks

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Alec Burks has made 2.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Alec Burks has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, making this a good matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
J. Robinson-Earl
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has attempted 5.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.4 mark last season. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has tallied 22.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has attempted 5.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.4 mark last season. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has tallied 22.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has attempted 20.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bam Adebayo has successfully made 48.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 10.9% more than he's made in all games this season without the home court advantage. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Bam Adebayo has attempted 20.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bam Adebayo has successfully made 48.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 10.9% more than he's made in all games this season without the home court advantage. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's impressive 44.1% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Miami Heat.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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