Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34

New Orleans @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Jose Alvarado will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Jose Alvarado will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Brown
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 45.9% mark, Bruce Brown's shooting ability has diminished this season to 35.7%. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Bruce Brown will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Compared to last season's 45.9% mark, Bruce Brown's shooting ability has diminished this season to 35.7%. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Bruce Brown will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Antonio Reeves Points Scored Props • New Orleans

A. Reeves
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Under
-105

Antonio Reeves has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Antonio Reeves figures to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Antonio Reeves

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Antonio Reeves has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Antonio Reeves figures to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Ryan Rollins Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

R. Rollins
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Ryan Rollins has successfully made 66.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.5% more than he's made in all games this year playing at home. Ryan Rollins has converted 75.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 13 games, 32.7% more than he's sunk overall this season. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Ryan Rollins

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Ryan Rollins has successfully made 66.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.5% more than he's made in all games this year playing at home. Ryan Rollins has converted 75.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 13 games, 32.7% more than he's sunk overall this season. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Taurean Prince has made 43.8% of his 3-point shots at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Taurean Prince has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, designating this as a positive matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Taurean Prince has made 43.8% of his 3-point shots at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Taurean Prince has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, designating this as a positive matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Karlo Matkovic Points Scored Props • New Orleans

K. Matkovic
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Under
-104

Karlo Matkovic has converted 27.6% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA. Karlo Matkovic has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The matchup against Brook Lopez is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game (17th percentile).

Karlo Matkovic

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Karlo Matkovic has converted 27.6% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA. Karlo Matkovic has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The matchup against Brook Lopez is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game (17th percentile).

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Yves Missi slots into the 5th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a subpar 0.0% rate this year. Yves Missi has attempted 0.0 treys per game this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The matchup against Brook Lopez is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game (21st percentile).

Yves Missi

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Yves Missi slots into the 5th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a subpar 0.0% rate this year. Yves Missi has attempted 0.0 treys per game this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. The Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The matchup against Brook Lopez is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game (21st percentile).

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game this year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. The matchup against New Orleans may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 19 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the NBA). Kyle Kuzma will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production for all stats.

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game this year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. The matchup against New Orleans may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 19 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the NBA). Kyle Kuzma will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production for all stats.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has made 5.3 buckets per game while at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Bobby Portis has made 90.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Bobby Portis will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Bobby Portis has made 5.3 buckets per game while at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Bobby Portis has made 90.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Bobby Portis will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Brook Lopez has sunk 63.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 12.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Brook Lopez has made 50.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The rate of shots hit against Karlo Matkovic has been quite high (65.6%) when he is away from his home court and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Brook Lopez has sunk 63.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 12.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Brook Lopez has made 50.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The rate of shots hit against Karlo Matkovic has been quite high (65.6%) when he is away from his home court and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 100th percentile, tallying a massive 30.3 points per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 100th percentile, tallying a massive 30.3 points per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile. In terms of offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.2 points per game measures as the 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Robinson-Earl
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has converted 49.6% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season while on the road. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has played 23.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 threes per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has converted 49.6% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season while on the road. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has played 23.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 threes per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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