Milwaukee @ Miami Picks & Props

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Ryan Rollins has attempted 4.5 shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 2.1 rate last season. Ryan Rollins has converted 75.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 13 games, 34.8% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Ryan Rollins has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production.

Davion Mitchell has attempted 9.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Davion Mitchell has converted 62.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 19.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's excellent 48.8% rate of made threes ranks strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7). This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 13.3 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Kyle Kuzma has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The matchup against Pelle Larsson is a favorable one for threes; when Larsson is at home other starting SFs this year, they have made a monstrous 44.4% of their three-point attempts (100th percentile).

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Taurean Prince has converted 51.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Taurean Prince places in the 94th percentile for three-point efficiency while playing on the road with a very good 44.3% rate this year. The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Pelle Larsson has made 53.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 16.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's excellent 48.8% rate of made threes ranks strongest in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 7.0 shots made from the field per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a positive matchup. Pelle Larsson has attempted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Gary Trent Jr. has converted 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season on the road. The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. Gary Trent Jr. has converted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted overall this year away from home.

Tyler Herro has averaged 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.6 minutes per game this year. As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's excellent 48.8% rate of made threes ranks strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7). Tyler Herro has sunk 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Brook Lopez has converted 63.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 12.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Brook Lopez has converted 49.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a strong one for treys; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 40.5% of their 3-pointers (90th percentile).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 36.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Heat, creating a good matchup. Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk 8.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Kel'el Ware has converted 61.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 22.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Kel'el Ware has played 28.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year. As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's excellent 48.8% rate of made threes ranks strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Brook Lopez is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Lopez is away from his home court and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.0 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).

Alec Burks has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Alec Burks lands in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 0.7 fouls per game this year. As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's excellent 48.8% rate of made threes ranks strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Milwaukee is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.5%). Alec Burks has converted 88.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.9% more than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage.

AJ Green has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Porter Jr. has gone over 8.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.