Denver @ Golden State props

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The number of field goals converted against Draymond Green has been very low (4.7 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). The matchup against Draymond Green is a hard one for drawing fouls; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game (21st percentile). Nikola Jokic figures to suffer a reduction in output across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Peyton Watson has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Peyton Watson is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this matchup.

Aaron Gordon has compiled 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.2 more than he's compiled overall this year on the road. Aaron Gordon has sunk 55.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Out of all players in the NBA, Moses Moody registers in the 76th percentile for three-pointers sunk, logging 1.8 per game this year. Moses Moody has averaged 28.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year. Moses Moody has sunk 95.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 13.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Jimmy Butler has converted 57.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a positive matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.

Christian Braun has successfully made 64.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.2% more than he's converted overall this year. Christian Braun has made 1.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Christian Braun has been on the court for 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%). The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 36.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%). The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Warriors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5). The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Draymond Green has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Draymond Green has averaged 28.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 55.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 12.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court. Brandin Podziemski has sunk 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made overall this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, easily managing to draw fouls.

Russell Westbrook has attempted 14.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Russell Westbrook has attempted 5.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Russell Westbrook has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 83rd percentile for field goal attempts, compiling 12.5 per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year. Jonathan Kuminga will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance across the board.

Buddy Hield has gone over 7.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Pickett has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Julian Strawther has gone over 6.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Quinten Post has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Gary Payton II has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Gui Santos has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.