Final May 4
IND 121 8.5 o228.5
CLE 112 -8.5 u228.5
Final May 4
GS 103 2.5 o206.0
HOU 89 -2.5 u206.0
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Memphis @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonas Valančiūnas Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. Valančiūnas
center C • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 90th percentile for shooting proficiency with an excellent 55.5% rate this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Jonas Valanciunas stands to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jonas Valančiūnas

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 90th percentile for shooting proficiency with an excellent 55.5% rate this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Jonas Valanciunas stands to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-132

Domantas Sabonis has made 61.0% of his field goals on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has made 59.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile. The number of treys attempted against Zach Edey has been remarkably high (2.5 per game) when playing on the road and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Domantas Sabonis has made 61.0% of his field goals on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has made 59.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile. The number of treys attempted against Zach Edey has been remarkably high (2.5 per game) when playing on the road and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Zach LaVine has sunk 60.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Zach LaVine has made 56.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 13.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine places in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.9 minutes per game this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

Zach LaVine has sunk 60.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Zach LaVine has made 56.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 13.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine places in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.9 minutes per game this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Zach Edey has converted 58.2% of his field goals while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Zach Edey has converted 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 15.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zach Edey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Zach Edey has converted 58.2% of his field goals while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Zach Edey has converted 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 15.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard measures in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.0 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Luke Kennard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard measures in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.0 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Luke Kennard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Jaren Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson
center C • Memphis
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-122

Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.4 fouls per game this year. The Kings have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league). Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

Jaren Jackson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.4 fouls per game this year. The Kings have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league). Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Malik Monk has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Malik Monk has attempted 6.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Malik Monk has played 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Malik Monk has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Malik Monk has attempted 6.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Malik Monk has played 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+102

Jaylen Wells has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, creating a strong matchup. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Jaylen Wells has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, creating a strong matchup. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-122

Keegan Murray has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray places in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.6 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are away from home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5). The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Keegan Murray has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray places in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.6 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are away from home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5). The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 19.9 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 1.7 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 19.9 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 1.7 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Vince Williams Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has attempted 4.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Vince Williams Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.5% more than he's made overall this year.

Vince Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Vince Williams Jr. has attempted 4.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Vince Williams Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.5% more than he's made overall this year.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-124

Desmond Bane has attempted 17.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Desmond Bane has attempted 17.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jake LaRavia Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. LaRavia
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.94
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-135

Jake LaRavia has gone over 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Lamar Stevens Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Stevens
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.90
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.90
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105

Lamar Stevens has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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