Final OT May 5
NY 108 9.0 o213.0
BOS 105 -9.0 u213.0
Final May 5
DEN 121 10.5 o229.5
OKC 119 -10.5 u229.5
LA 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-32
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61

LA @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-113

Ivica Zubac has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The 2nd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers. The Clippers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Ivica Zubac has made a lowly 60.6% of his free throws this season, a sizeable decrease from his 72.2 rate last season. Ivica Zubac will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production for all stats.

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Ivica Zubac has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The 2nd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers. The Clippers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Ivica Zubac has made a lowly 60.6% of his free throws this season, a sizeable decrease from his 72.2 rate last season. Ivica Zubac will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production for all stats.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-130

Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Clippers is a challenging one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (27.2%). The Clippers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. Zion Williamson has converted a mere 59.3% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly lower than his 67.7 mark last season.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Clippers is a challenging one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (27.2%). The Clippers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. Zion Williamson has converted a mere 59.3% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly lower than his 67.7 mark last season.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-129

CJ McCollum has attempted 17.9 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum rates in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, logging 8.1 per game this year. CJ McCollum has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 45.6% on field goals (7th-best in the league) against the Clippers, resulting in a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

CJ McCollum has attempted 17.9 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum rates in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, logging 8.1 per game this year. CJ McCollum has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 45.6% on field goals (7th-best in the league) against the Clippers, resulting in a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Bogdan Bogdanović Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

B. Bogdanović
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-102

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's played overall this year. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers. Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Bogdan Bogdanović

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's played overall this year. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers. Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Nicolas Batum Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Batum
power forward PF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Nicolas Batum has played 23.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played in all games this season. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers. Nicolas Batum has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Nicolas Batum

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Nicolas Batum has played 23.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played in all games this season. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers. Nicolas Batum has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Kawhi Leonard has attempted 19.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Kawhi Leonard measures in the 79th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, compiling 5.1 per game this year. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Kawhi Leonard has attempted 19.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Kawhi Leonard measures in the 79th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, compiling 5.1 per game this year. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has attempted 10.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's made overall this year while playing at home. Jose Alvarado is expected to see a rise in performance in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Jose Alvarado has attempted 10.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's made overall this year while playing at home. Jose Alvarado is expected to see a rise in performance in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-140

The 2nd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers. The Clippers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). James Harden will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

James Harden

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

The 2nd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers. The Clippers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). James Harden will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Brown
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Clippers may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the league). Bruce Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production for all stats.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Clippers may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the league). Bruce Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production for all stats.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Dunn
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+102

Kris Dunn has converted 43.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 8.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this season. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers. Kris Dunn has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 45.8% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Kris Dunn has converted 43.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 8.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this season. As it relates to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 36.2% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-highest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers. Kris Dunn has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 45.8% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-122

While away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Ivica Zubac places in the 93rd percentile with a colossal 2.6 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. The clash with Ivica Zubac with respect to getting to the foul line lands in just the 77th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.1 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court. Yves Missi will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

Yves Missi

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

While away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Ivica Zubac places in the 93rd percentile with a colossal 2.6 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. The clash with Ivica Zubac with respect to getting to the foul line lands in just the 77th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.1 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court. Yves Missi will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Trey Murphy III has attempted 18.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.7 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Compared to last season's 80.6% rate, Trey Murphy III's free-throw performance has spiked this season to 90.0%.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Trey Murphy III has attempted 18.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.7 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Compared to last season's 80.6% rate, Trey Murphy III's free-throw performance has spiked this season to 90.0%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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