LIVE 08:00 3rd May 1
NY 74 1.5 o213.0
DET 67 -1.5 u213.0
DEN 6.0 o212.5
LAC -6.0 u212.5
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42

New Orleans @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Yves Missi has sunk 71.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 10.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing away from home. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year. Yves Missi has attempted 2.7 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Yves Missi

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Yves Missi has sunk 71.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 10.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing away from home. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year. Yves Missi has attempted 2.7 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Out of all players in the league, Zach LaVine lands in the 88th percentile for shots from the field while playing at home, registering 13.0 per game since the start of last season. Zach LaVine has successfully made 3.2 treys per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine ranks in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Out of all players in the league, Zach LaVine lands in the 88th percentile for shots from the field while playing at home, registering 13.0 per game since the start of last season. Zach LaVine has successfully made 3.2 treys per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine ranks in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-115

In contrast to last season's 30.0% mark, Zion Williamson's 3-point performance has dropped this season to 14.3%. Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson places in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year. Zion Williamson ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

In contrast to last season's 30.0% mark, Zion Williamson's 3-point performance has dropped this season to 14.3%. Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson places in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year. Zion Williamson ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jose Alvarado registers in the 83rd percentile for three-point shots drained when playing away from home, posting 2.0 per game this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Out of all players in the league, Jose Alvarado registers in the 83rd percentile for three-point shots drained when playing away from home, posting 2.0 per game this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has successfully made 70.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 22.5% higher than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage. The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Keon Ellis has successfully made 70.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 22.5% higher than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage. The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-108

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year. Trey Murphy III will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year. Trey Murphy III will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year. CJ McCollum has converted a lowly 73.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 84.8 mark last year. CJ McCollum will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year. CJ McCollum has converted a lowly 73.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 84.8 mark last year. CJ McCollum will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-130

DeMar DeRozan has compiled 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.6 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home. Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game on his home court this year. The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

DeMar DeRozan has compiled 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.6 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home. Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game on his home court this year. The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-122

Malik Monk has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.1). The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.

Malik Monk

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Malik Monk has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.1). The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Keegan Murray has sunk 40.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Keegan Murray has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 5.4 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Keegan Murray has sunk 40.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Keegan Murray has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 5.4 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-145

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 95th percentile for field goal prowess while playing at home with an outstanding 62.1% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 61.7% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.8% more than he's made from three over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 36.0 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup vs. Yves Missi is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 6.4 field goals per game (90th percentile). The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 95th percentile for field goal prowess while playing at home with an outstanding 62.1% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 61.7% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.8% more than he's made from three over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 36.0 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup vs. Yves Missi is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 6.4 field goals per game (90th percentile). The 7th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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