Miami @ Denver Picks & Props
MIA vs DEN Picks
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MIA vs DEN Consensus Picks
MIA vs DEN Props
Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.
Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami
Terry Rozier has attempted 15.9 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier places in the 92nd percentile for 3-point attempts, totaling 6.8 per game since the start of last season. Terry Rozier has tallied 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against Denver is a positive one; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).
Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver
Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 91st percentile for shots taken with the home court advantage, logging 17.0 per game since the start of last season. Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.3 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.7 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami
Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.8 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo ought to experience a decrease in production for all stats due to being on the road in this game.
Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver
Peyton Watson has converted just 29.4% of his field goals this year, quite a bit less than his 43.5 mark last year. Peyton Watson has made a measly 17.9% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit lower than his 27.1 rate last year. Peyton Watson has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The showdown with Bam Adebayo with respect to getting to the free-throw line rates in the 19th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season.
Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami
The matchup against Denver is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%). The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production for all stats.
Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver
Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun slots into the 83rd percentile for field goals converted, averaging a colossal 5.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Christian Braun registers in the 94th percentile for three-point efficiency with an impressive 54.4% rate this year. In comparison to last year's 19.8 rate, Christian Braun's playing time has spiked this year to 35.5 minutes per game. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver
Julian Strawther has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami
Nikola Jović has gone over 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.
Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver
Russell Westbrook has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami
Duncan Robinson has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs DEN Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+21.35 Units / 31% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+13.60 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.50 Units / 19% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-21.45 Units / -29% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games (-20.95 Units / -27% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-20.20 Units / -27% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 87 games (-18.15 Units / -18% ROI)
Denver Trends
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 86 games (+11.40 Units / 4% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.08 Units / 19% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.58 Units / 27% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 73 games (-29.80 Units / -16% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-19.00 Units / -18% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 94 games (-17.73 Units / -17% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 23 games (-16.55 Units / -43% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 94 games (-16.45 Units / -15% ROI)
MIA vs DEN Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | sprality777 | 8-2-0 | +9000 |
| 2 | vulkai0813 | 6-4-0 | +8950 |
| 3 | CRS | 5-4-1 | +6850 |
| 4 | LatinoGambler | 6-3-1 | +6050 |
| 5 | Aitch | 9-0-1 | +5600 |
| 6 | Runupmoney97 | 8-1-1 | +5500 |
| 7 | teslaxyz | 6-3-1 | +5400 |
| 8 | goobero | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 9 | Causa | 6-4-0 | +4800 |
| 10 | ceesey | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| All Heat Money Leaders | |||
Denver Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASkinsFanInDixi | 10-0-0 | +10350 |
| 2 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +9600 |
| 3 | proliner55 | 6-4-0 | +9050 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 7-3-0 | +8860 |
| 5 | rhinorey | 8-2-0 | +8800 |
| 6 | JamesGang | 8-2-0 | +8380 |
| 7 | JFT1010 | 6-4-0 | +8100 |
| 8 | billdo | 6-4-0 | +8000 |
| 9 | aerison12 | 7-3-0 | +8000 |
| 10 | Hotstuff1301 | 7-3-0 | +7700 |
| All Nuggets Money Leaders | |||