Oklahoma City @ Denver props

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams slots into the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.5 fouls per game since the start of last season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league). Jalen Williams stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this contest.

Out of all players in the league, Peyton Watson rates in the 20th percentile for three-point ability with the home court advantage with a poor 12.5% rate this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a tough matchup for offensive performance. As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 20.1 foul shots per game.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank best in in the NBA with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Julian Strawther will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance across the board.

The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a hard one for shots from downtown; when Jokic is playing at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a mere 0.0% of their treys (3rd percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank best in in the NBA with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Russell Westbrook has made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the net in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.2 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort measures in the 75th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness away from home with a very good 93.8% rate this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 20.1 foul shots per game. The matchup against Oklahoma may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

Nikola Jokic has made 10.5 shots made from the field per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Nikola Jokic has averaged 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile. The showdown with Chet Holmgren rates in the 80th percentile with the other side's starting Cs making a massive 34.9% of their attempts from downtown since the start of last season. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank best in in the NBA with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 99th percentile, registering a colossal 29.7 points per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.5 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 7.3 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

Christian Braun has sunk 6.3 buckets per game at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. Christian Braun has averaged 33.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank best in in the NBA with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Christian Braun figures to see a spike in efficiency across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Alex Caruso has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Joe has gone over 9.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Wiggins has gone over 8.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Cason Wallace has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.