Toronto @ Miami Picks & Props

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Jimmy Butler has put up 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.6 higher than he's put up over the course of the season at home. Jimmy Butler has sunk 66.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.6 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's superb 37.8% rate of converted threes places 7th-best in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted 23.9 points per game (most in the league) against the Raptors, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Bam Adebayo has played 33.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's superb 37.8% rate of converted threes places 7th-best in the league this year. The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a favorable one; he has allowed a monstrous 17.9 points per game when facing other starting Cs this year (96th percentile). Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 86th percentile for getting to the foul line, compiling an enormous 4.1 foul shots per game while at home this year. The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 5.3 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Chris Boucher has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (20th percentile). The Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Chris Boucher has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing on the road.

In contrast to last season's 31.7% mark, Scottie Barnes's three-point effectiveness has diminished this season to 21.2%. In terms of shooting, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 107.6 points per game ranks 6th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games. The Raptors have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the league as the away team this year. The Toronto Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Scottie Barnes is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 31.8 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a strong one for treys; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 56.9% of their three-point shots (100th percentile). The Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.6 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. In comparison to last season's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from downtown have increased this season to 9.8 per game. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.9 minutes per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 0.9 fouls per game while on his home court this year. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's superb 37.8% rate of converted threes places 7th-best in the league this year.

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's superb 37.8% rate of converted threes places 7th-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Raptors is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9). Haywood Highsmith will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually increases player production in all stat categories.

RJ Barrett has attempted 18.1 shots per game away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett ranks in the 82nd percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 6.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett places in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 34.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a good matchup. The matchup vs. Jimmy Butler is a good one for threes; when matched up against opposing starting SFs this year, they have converted a whopping 43.8% of their 3-pointers (93rd percentile).

Duncan Robinson has scored 14.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's scored in all games this year. Duncan Robinson has successfully made 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's superb 37.8% rate of converted threes places 7th-best in the league this year. Duncan Robinson has attempted 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji rates in the 80th percentile for shooting proficiency away from home with a stellar 53.1% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.2 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the league) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a good matchup. The Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Ochai Agbaji has converted 83.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.

Terry Rozier has gone over 10.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Davion Mitchell has gone over 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jaime Jaquez has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jonathan Mogbo has gone over 4.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Jamal Shead has gone over 3.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.