DAL 6.5 o209.5
BOS -6.5 u209.5
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32

Minnesota @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-150

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 74.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 9.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year while on his home court. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. When guarding fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 100th percentile with a whopping 2.4 3-pointers attempted against him per game this year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when Gobert is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.3 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 74.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 9.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year while on his home court. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. When guarding fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 100th percentile with a whopping 2.4 3-pointers attempted against him per game this year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when Gobert is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.3 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-103

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid comes in at the 77th percentile, averaging a massive 13.2 points per game this year. Naz Reid has made 2.1 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. Naz Reid has attempted 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid comes in at the 77th percentile, averaging a massive 13.2 points per game this year. Naz Reid has made 2.1 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. Naz Reid has attempted 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Under
-142
Prop
35.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Under
-142
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shots from the field (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shots from the field (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
+107

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 94th percentile for field goal prowess away from his home court with a phenomenal 61.7% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup with Daniel Gafford lands in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs compiling an enormous 15.4 points per game this year. The showdown with Daniel Gafford as it relates to getting to the charity stripe comes in at only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.7 free throws per game this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 94th percentile for field goal prowess away from his home court with a phenomenal 61.7% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup with Daniel Gafford lands in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs compiling an enormous 15.4 points per game this year. The showdown with Daniel Gafford as it relates to getting to the charity stripe comes in at only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.7 free throws per game this year.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-127
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-127
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goal attempts (3rd-worst in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goal attempts (3rd-worst in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. Jaden McDaniels has made 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on the road.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. Jaden McDaniels has made 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on the road.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-156

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 93rd percentile, totaling a monstrous 21.2 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 93rd percentile for 3-point effectiveness on the road with a phenomenal 44.3% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 93rd percentile, totaling a monstrous 21.2 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 93rd percentile for 3-point effectiveness on the road with a phenomenal 44.3% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
+105

P.J. Washington has made 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made from three over the course of the season on his home court. P.J. Washington has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (6th-most in the league). P.J. Washington should see an increase in performance across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

P.J. Washington has made 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made from three over the course of the season on his home court. P.J. Washington has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (6th-most in the league). P.J. Washington should see an increase in performance across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 98th percentile for shots from the field sunk, registering a colossal 9.4 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has sunk 2.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Kyrie Irving has played 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this year at home. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have tallied 2.6 threes per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a good matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 98th percentile for shots from the field sunk, registering a colossal 9.4 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has sunk 2.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Kyrie Irving has played 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this year at home. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have tallied 2.6 threes per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a good matchup.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Over
-178

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards measures in the 99th percentile for shots from the field, totaling 19.7 per game this year. Anthony Edwards has sunk 3.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has averaged 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards measures in the 99th percentile for shots from the field, totaling 19.7 per game this year. Anthony Edwards has sunk 3.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has averaged 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 69.7% of his shots from the field at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Dereck Lively II figures to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Dereck Lively II has sunk 69.7% of his shots from the field at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-best in the NBA this year. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Dereck Lively II figures to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 90th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, compiling 2.3 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.3 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. Mike Conley has sunk 87.4% of his foul shot attempts when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 90th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, compiling 2.3 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.3 minutes per game this year. In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's superb 113.2 points per game while playing away from home places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. Mike Conley has sunk 87.4% of his foul shot attempts when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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