Denver 2nd Western Conference57-25
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26

Denver @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+185

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 54.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 12.1% higher than he's converted overall this season while on the road. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.0 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 54.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 12.1% higher than he's converted overall this season while on the road. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.0 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
45.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Under
-108

Anthony Edwards has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SGs have logged 15.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the league while at home with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 45.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
45.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Anthony Edwards has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SGs have logged 15.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the league while at home with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has registered 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's registered over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Michael Porter Jr. has registered 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's registered over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 97th percentile for scoring ability with a stellar 65.8% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The showdown with Nikola Jokic ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs putting up a whopping 16.3 points per game this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 97th percentile for scoring ability with a stellar 65.8% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The showdown with Nikola Jokic ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs putting up a whopping 16.3 points per game this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-123
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-123
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league away from home this year has been the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league away from home this year has been the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production across the board.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production across the board.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.1

The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-210

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 58.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's converted overall this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.8%).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 58.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's converted overall this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.8%).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 69.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 13.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season when playing on the road. Aaron Gordon has made 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Aaron Gordon has averaged 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged overall this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 69.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 13.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season when playing on the road. Aaron Gordon has made 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Aaron Gordon has averaged 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged overall this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
+126

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jamal Murray has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Jamal Murray has sunk 95.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's made overall this season.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jamal Murray has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Jamal Murray has sunk 95.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's made overall this season.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 43.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 4.9 higher than he's played in all games this year at home. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% higher than he's made overall this year when playing at home.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Mike Conley has made 43.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 4.9 higher than he's played in all games this year at home. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% higher than he's made overall this year when playing at home.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Naz Reid has made 2.1 threes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). Naz Reid has made 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season on his home court. Naz Reid will likely get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Naz Reid has made 2.1 threes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In terms of threes, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 38.5% rate of successful threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets). Naz Reid has made 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season on his home court. Naz Reid will likely get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.04
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+410
Under
-105

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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