Milwaukee 3rd Eastern Conference49-33
Indiana 6th Eastern Conference47-35
ABC, BSN, TSN

Milwaukee @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
+122

Pascal Siakam has converted 11.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Pascal Siakam has converted 11.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-101

Myles Turner has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been remarkably low this year (2.5 free throw attempts per game: 8th percentile).

Myles Turner

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Myles Turner has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been remarkably low this year (2.5 free throw attempts per game: 8th percentile).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.7 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.3 rate last season. The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.7 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.3 rate last season. The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

AJ Green Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

A. Green
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

AJ Green has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). AJ Green has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

AJ Green

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

AJ Green has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). AJ Green has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 42.4% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 32.8 rate last season. Aaron Nesmith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 42.4% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 32.8 rate last season. Aaron Nesmith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Under
-106

Among all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Khris Middleton should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Among all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Khris Middleton should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Patrick Beverley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Beverley
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-136

Patrick Beverley has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.9 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). Patrick Beverley has sunk 96.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup against Indiana may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

Patrick Beverley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Patrick Beverley has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.9 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). Patrick Beverley has sunk 96.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup against Indiana may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell has made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 higher than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers. T.J. McConnell has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year. T.J. McConnell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

T.J. McConnell has made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 higher than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers. T.J. McConnell has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year. T.J. McConnell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 15.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 7.3 3-point shots per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 15.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 7.3 3-point shots per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-174

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 50.5% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA. Andrew Nembhard has converted 38.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Andrew Nembhard has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played over the course of the year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 43.5% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 50.5% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA. Andrew Nembhard has converted 38.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Andrew Nembhard has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played over the course of the year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 43.5% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-123

Bobby Portis has converted 7.5 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Bobby Portis has successfully made 45.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk overall this year. Bobby Portis has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Bobby Portis has converted 7.5 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Bobby Portis has successfully made 45.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk overall this year. Bobby Portis has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-112

Malik Beasley has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. In contrast to last season's 23.6 clip, Malik Beasley's playing time has risen this season to 29.1 minutes per game. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have registered 19.0 points per game (highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Malik Beasley has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. In contrast to last season's 23.6 clip, Malik Beasley's playing time has risen this season to 29.1 minutes per game. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have registered 19.0 points per game (highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Brook Lopez has made 2.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). Brook Lopez has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Brook Lopez has made 2.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). Brook Lopez has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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