Sacramento 9th Western Conference46-36
Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18
NBCSCA, NBCSB, NBATV

Sacramento @ Boston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-106

The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Trey Lyles

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Keon Ellis has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while playing away from home. Keon Ellis has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, designating this as a positive matchup. The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Keon Ellis has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while playing away from home. Keon Ellis has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, designating this as a positive matchup. The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Under
-122

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 82nd percentile for three-pointers drained, posting 1.9 per game this year. Harrison Barnes has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Boston is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Boston Celtics are at home (8th-most in the NBA).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 82nd percentile for three-pointers drained, posting 1.9 per game this year. Harrison Barnes has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Boston is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Boston Celtics are at home (8th-most in the NBA).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-130

Compared to last year's 7.3 clip, Jrue Holiday's shots scored have declined this year to 4.8 per game. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have compiled 15.2 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Compared to last year's 7.3 clip, Jrue Holiday's shots scored have declined this year to 4.8 per game. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have compiled 15.2 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-124

Al Horford has successfully made 55.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 9th-best in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Al Horford will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production across the board.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Al Horford has successfully made 55.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 9th-best in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Al Horford will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production across the board.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-118

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 93rd percentile for field goal performance with a very good 60.4% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 89th percentile for three-point performance with an excellent 40.4% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has attempted 6.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 93rd percentile for field goal performance with a very good 60.4% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 89th percentile for three-point performance with an excellent 40.4% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has attempted 6.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Under
-108

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The number of points put up against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (11.5 per game) when he is on the visiting team and defending fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Kristaps Porzingis has made just 4.6 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.5 mark last year.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The number of points put up against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (11.5 per game) when he is on the visiting team and defending fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Kristaps Porzingis has made just 4.6 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.5 mark last year.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Derrick White has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 9th-best in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Derrick White has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court.

Derrick White

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Derrick White has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 9th-best in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Derrick White has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court.

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Sam Hauser has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 60.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 13.4% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court. Payton Pritchard has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 9th-best in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while on his home court. Payton Pritchard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 60.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 13.4% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court. Payton Pritchard has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 9th-best in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while on his home court. Payton Pritchard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 25.0 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 10.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. De'Aaron Fox has tallied 35.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most threes per game in the league this year (3.0). The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 25.0 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 10.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. De'Aaron Fox has tallied 35.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most threes per game in the league this year (3.0). The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Keegan Murray has converted 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Keegan Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's made over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Keegan Murray has converted 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Keegan Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's made over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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