IND 11.0 o228.5
OKC -11.0 u228.5
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
MNMT, BSN

Miami @ Washington props

Capital One Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds

Jimmy Butler has attempted 15.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Jimmy Butler has made 42.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have shot 50.2% on shot attempts from the field (4th-best in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Jimmy Butler has attempted 15.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Jimmy Butler has made 42.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have shot 50.2% on shot attempts from the field (4th-best in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

Nikola Jovic
N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds

Nikola Jovic has converted a terrific 40.3% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 21.7 rate last year. Nikola Jovic has averaged 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Nikola Jovic has converted a terrific 40.3% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 21.7 rate last year. Nikola Jovic has averaged 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds

Terry Rozier has sunk 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's sunk overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.8 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 21.8 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, designating this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Terry Rozier has sunk 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's sunk overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.8 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 21.8 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, designating this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).

Corey Kispert Points Scored Props • Washington

Corey Kispert
C. Kispert
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds

Corey Kispert has sunk 6.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Corey Kispert has sunk 3.1 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Corey Kispert has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 higher than he's played overall this year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a good matchup.

Corey Kispert

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Corey Kispert has sunk 6.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Corey Kispert has sunk 3.1 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Corey Kispert has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 higher than he's played overall this year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a good matchup.

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

Jordan Poole
J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds

The Wizards are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league while at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year. Jordan Poole has attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.7 mark last season.

Jordan Poole

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

The Wizards are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league while at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year. Jordan Poole has attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.7 mark last season.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

Duncan Robinson
D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season when playing away from home. Duncan Robinson has tallied 28.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards). Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson ranks in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an excellent 86.1% rate this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season when playing away from home. Duncan Robinson has tallied 28.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards). Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson ranks in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an excellent 86.1% rate this year.

Jared Butler Points Scored Props • Washington

Jared Butler
J. Butler
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jared Butler has successfully made 59.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 8.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season while on his home court. Jared Butler has successfully made 38.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 6 games, 12.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. Jared Butler will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Jared Butler

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Jared Butler has successfully made 59.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 8.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season while on his home court. Jared Butler has successfully made 38.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 6 games, 12.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. Jared Butler will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points Scored Props • Washington

Patrick Baldwin Jr.
P. Baldwin Jr.
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%). The Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. Patrick Baldwin Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Patrick Baldwin Jr. will likely see a spike in output across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%). The Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year. Patrick Baldwin Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Patrick Baldwin Jr. will likely see a spike in output across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (81st percentile). The most lethargic pace road offense in the league this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Bam Adebayo ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Bam Adebayo has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (81st percentile). The most lethargic pace road offense in the league this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Bam Adebayo ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

Jaime Jaquez Jr.
J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.2 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.2 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Washington

Kyle Kuzma
K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Wizards are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league while at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

The Wizards are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league while at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Marvin Bagley III Points Scored Props • Washington

Marvin Bagley III
M. Bagley III
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 1.6 rate, Marvin Bagley III's 3-point attempts have dropped this year to 0.5 per game. The number of points registered against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low (12.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Wizards are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league while at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year. The faceoff with Bam Adebayo with respect to getting to the free-throw line lands in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.2 free throws per game this year when they are playing at home.

Marvin Bagley III

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Relative to last year's 1.6 rate, Marvin Bagley III's 3-point attempts have dropped this year to 0.5 per game. The number of points registered against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low (12.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Wizards are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league while at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year. The faceoff with Bam Adebayo with respect to getting to the free-throw line lands in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.2 free throws per game this year when they are playing at home.

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Washington

Deni Avdija
D. Avdija
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds

Deni Avdija has registered 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's registered in all games this season. Deni Avdija has attempted 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Deni Avdija has tallied 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, creating a favorable matchup.

Deni Avdija

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Deni Avdija has registered 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's registered in all games this season. Deni Avdija has attempted 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Deni Avdija has tallied 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, creating a favorable matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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