Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18
Atlanta 10th Eastern Conference36-46
BSN, NBCSB, NBATV

Boston @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Vit Krejci Points Scored Props • Atlanta

V. Krejci
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-128

The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, opposing starting SFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Vit Krejci has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's made overall this year. Vit Krejci will likely get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Vit Krejci

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, opposing starting SFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Vit Krejci has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's made overall this year. Vit Krejci will likely get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Under
-125

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. Among all players in the NBA, Sam Hauser registers in the 9th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, averaging just 0.3 foul shot attempts per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line. Sam Hauser will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production for all stats.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. Among all players in the NBA, Sam Hauser registers in the 9th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, averaging just 0.3 foul shot attempts per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line. Sam Hauser will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production for all stats.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has made 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Payton Pritchard has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Payton Pritchard has made 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Payton Pritchard has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

While on the road and guarding fellow starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 93rd percentile with an enormous 2.2 threes attempted against him per game this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Clint Capela ought to see a spike in efficiency across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Clint Capela

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

While on the road and guarding fellow starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 93rd percentile with an enormous 2.2 threes attempted against him per game this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Clint Capela ought to see a spike in efficiency across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Al Horford has sunk 75.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 25.4% more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 3rd-highest field goal rate in the league this year (54.1%). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Al Horford has sunk 75.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 25.4% more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 3rd-highest field goal rate in the league this year (54.1%). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. As it relates to scoring, the Hawks's subpar 45.9% field goal percentage places 8th-lowest in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a tough matchup. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. As it relates to scoring, the Hawks's subpar 45.9% field goal percentage places 8th-lowest in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a tough matchup. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. Jaylen Brown should see a decline in performance across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics. Jaylen Brown should see a decline in performance across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Over
-106

Dejounte Murray has compiled 26.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's compiled overall this season. Dejounte Murray has made 4.2 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for threes; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0). The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Dejounte Murray has compiled 26.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's compiled overall this season. Dejounte Murray has made 4.2 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for threes; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0). The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 14.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. De'Andre Hunter has attempted 6.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. De'Andre Hunter is expected to see an increase in output across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 14.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. De'Andre Hunter has attempted 6.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. De'Andre Hunter is expected to see an increase in output across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Jayson Tatum has converted 4.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 35.8 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Jayson Tatum has converted 4.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 35.8 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks).

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-120

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 17.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.5 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 17.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.5 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Bruno Fernando Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Fernando
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Bruno Fernando has successfully made 65.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage. The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Bruno Fernando has made 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Bruno Fernando will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production across the board.

Bruno Fernando

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Bruno Fernando has successfully made 65.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage. The 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Bruno Fernando has made 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Bruno Fernando will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production across the board.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Derrick White has attempted 15.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Derrick White has attempted 10.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.6 minutes per game this year. The number of field goal attempts against Bogdan Bogdanovic has been very high (13.0 per game) when playing at home and defending fellow starting SGs this year (100th percentile). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks).

Derrick White

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Derrick White has attempted 15.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Derrick White has attempted 10.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.6 minutes per game this year. The number of field goal attempts against Bogdan Bogdanovic has been very high (13.0 per game) when playing at home and defending fellow starting SGs this year (100th percentile). The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hawks).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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