Cleveland 4th Eastern Conference48-34
Miami 8th Eastern Conference46-36

Cleveland @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Georges Niang Points Scored Props • Cleveland

G. Niang
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Georges Niang has made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from three overall this season while on the road. Georges Niang has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.4 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. Georges Niang has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Georges Niang

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Georges Niang has made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from three overall this season while on the road. Georges Niang has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.4 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. Georges Niang has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Isaac Okoro Points Scored Props • Cleveland

I. Okoro
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Isaac Okoro has attempted 4.6 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. Isaac Okoro has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). Isaac Okoro has converted 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 16.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Isaac Okoro

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Isaac Okoro has attempted 4.6 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. Isaac Okoro has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). Isaac Okoro has converted 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 16.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Nikola Jovic has made 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 41.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA). Nikola Jovic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Nikola Jovic has made 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 41.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA). Nikola Jovic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
center C • Cleveland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-106

Evan Mobley has sunk 57.5% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Evan Mobley has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this season away from home. Evan Mobley has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Evan Mobley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Evan Mobley has sunk 57.5% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Evan Mobley has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this season away from home. Evan Mobley has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-102

Darius Garland has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat). The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 4.0 mark, Darius Garland's free throws drained have decreased this year to 2.9 per game.

Darius Garland

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Darius Garland has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat). The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 4.0 mark, Darius Garland's free throws drained have decreased this year to 2.9 per game.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
+100

Bam Adebayo has converted 64.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has made 75.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 42.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. Bam Adebayo stands to see a rise in production in all stat categories as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Bam Adebayo has converted 64.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has made 75.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 42.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. Bam Adebayo stands to see a rise in production in all stat categories as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Patty Mills Points Scored Props • Miami

P. Mills
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 37.8% rate, Patty Mills's scoring ability has fallen this year to 30.9%. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (12.1). The matchup against Caris LeVert is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when LeVert is playing on the road and guarding fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a mere 4.9 treys per game (7th percentile). The least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

Patty Mills

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

In contrast to last year's 37.8% rate, Patty Mills's scoring ability has fallen this year to 30.9%. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (12.1). The matchup against Caris LeVert is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when LeVert is playing on the road and guarding fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a mere 4.9 treys per game (7th percentile). The least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-106

Out of all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen lands in the 91st percentile for scoring prowess away from his home court with an impressive 59.2% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. Jarrett Allen has attempted 6.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen lands in the 91st percentile for scoring prowess away from his home court with an impressive 59.2% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. Jarrett Allen has attempted 6.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-108

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 92nd percentile, totaling an enormous 21.5 points per game this year. In contrast to last season's 31.6% rate, Jimmy Butler's three-point efficiency has surged this season to 42.9%. Jimmy Butler has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have notched 20.5 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive production.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 92nd percentile, totaling an enormous 21.5 points per game this year. In contrast to last season's 31.6% rate, Jimmy Butler's three-point efficiency has surged this season to 42.9%. Jimmy Butler has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have notched 20.5 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive production.

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Cleveland

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat). The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Caris LeVert will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

Caris LeVert

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat). The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Caris LeVert will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Terry Rozier has played 31.6 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a strong matchup. Terry Rozier has successfully made 88.3% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Terry Rozier will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Terry Rozier has played 31.6 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a strong matchup. Terry Rozier has successfully made 88.3% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Terry Rozier will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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