Detroit @ Miami Picks & Props

Compared to last season's 7.3 clip, Duncan Robinson's points per game have jumped this season to 13.3. In contrast to last year's 4.7 clip, Duncan Robinson's three-point attempts have spiked this year to 6.9 per game. Duncan Robinson has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. As it relates to threes, the Heat's exceptional 38.9% rate of sunk threes on their home court comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.0 minutes per game at home this year. As it relates to threes, the Heat's exceptional 38.9% rate of sunk threes on their home court comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.7 foul shots per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe. Terry Rozier is expected to see a spike in performance across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.2 threes per game this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games, their opposition has nabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Pistons (continuing possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 55.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Ausar Thompson has made 1.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from three overall this season. Ausar Thompson has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 8.1 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.

Nikola Jovic has sunk 53.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 11.0% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. As it relates to threes, the Heat's exceptional 38.9% rate of sunk threes on their home court comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 11 games at home, 41.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing at home. The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (25th-most in the league).

Jaden Ivey has attempted 14.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. At home, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has made 57.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has made 62.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 14.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile. As it relates to threes, the Heat's exceptional 38.9% rate of sunk threes on their home court comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot 45.0% on three-pointers (27th-highest in the league) against the Pistons, branding this as a good matchup.

Isaiah Stewart has sunk 53.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 7.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing away from home. Compared to last season's 30.8% clip, Isaiah Stewart's 3-point efficiency has increased this season to 39.6%. Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Stewart places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.7 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.

As it relates to threes, the Heat's exceptional 38.9% rate of sunk threes on their home court comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. This year, opposing teams have tallied 31.5 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a hard matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. registers in the 77th percentile for foul shots scored, averaging an enormous 2.0 per game this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Cade Cunningham has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Detroit Pistons. Cade Cunningham will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

In contrast to last season's 30.7% mark, Simone Fontecchio's three-point proficiency has jumped this season to 39.7%. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. At home, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Simone Fontecchio has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season away from home.

In contrast to last year's 3.9 mark, Jalen Duren's shots from the field hit have risen this year to 6.0 per game. In contrast to last season's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has spiked this season to 30.0 minutes per game. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. At home, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Evan Fournier has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Caleb Martin has not yet played a game this season.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

James Wiseman has not yet played a game this season.

Marcus Sasser has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.