NBA Slam Dunk Contest Odds, Rules, Picks, and Predictions: It's Showtime

While the 2026 NBA Slam Dunk Contest lacks the star power fans crave, it could be more entertaining than many expect. My NBA predictions are heating up with a pick on a high-flying underdog.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 13, 2026 • 12:26 ET • 4 min read
Keshad Johnson Miami Heat NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Miami Heat forward Keshad Johnson attempts a windmill dunk.

The 2026 NBA All-Star Weekend Slam Dunk Contest is a far cry from the days of Vince Carter, Tracy McGrady, and Steve Francis battling it out.

This year’s field is full of lesser-known, lightly used players, so finding betting value in our Slam Dunk Contest predictions requires a closer look.

That’s exactly what I’ve done with my NBA picks for Saturday, February 14.

NBA Slam Dunk Contest odds

Player Team bet365
Carter Bryant Spurs San Antonio Spurs +180
Jaxson Hayes Lakers Los Angeles Lakers +250
Keshad Johnson Heat Miami Heat +320
Jase Richardson Magic Orlando Magic +350
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NBA Slam Dunk Contest rules

Before wagering on the Slam Dunk Contest, be sure to familiarize yourself with the latest rules for the 2026 edition:

  • Four players will compete in a two-round competition.

  • Five judges will score each dunk based on a score ranging from 40 to 50. 

  • The two dunkers with the highest combined scores from their first two dunks advance to the finals.

  • The final round will consist of two dunks by each dunker, with the highest composite score being crowned the champion.

  • In the event of a tie, there will be one additional round of dunks. If the event is still tied, then the judges will be empowered to declare a winner by majority vote.

NBA Slam Dunk Contest 

Carter Bryant (+180)

For what it’s worth, Carter Bryant is the favorite in this field of relative unknowns. The 6-foot-6 rookie wing was taken 14th overall by the San Antonio Spurs largely because of his explosive athleticism.

Bryant boasts a 39.5-inch vertical, but he hasn’t seen much playing time in San Antonio, and there isn’t much game footage of him dunking. As a result, it’s hard to see much value at his current price.

Jaxson Hayes (+250)

Jaxson Hayes is an intriguing entrant, but there are reasons for skepticism. Historically, taller players have struggled in this competition (Dwight Howard being a notable exception), and Hayes isn’t exactly positioned as a fan favorite.

The 7-footer plays for the Los Angeles Lakers and was recently suspended one game for pushing a mascot. He also dealt with a domestic violence case earlier in his career. All things considered, this is a pass for me.

Keshad Johnson (+320)

Keshad Johnson is another explosive wing who has seen limited minutes with the Miami Heat.

Still, the 6-foot-6 forward boasts a ridiculous 42-inch vertical, and some of his in-game dunks this season have been truly eye-popping...

Jase Richardson (+350)

Jase Richardson is the best storyline in the field. He carries the longest odds in this competition, even if there’s no true long shot. The 6-foot-1 rookie guard has seen limited minutes with the Orlando Magic this season.

The intrigue? He’s the son of two-time Slam Dunk champion Jason Richardson.

Richardson appears to have inherited his dad’s leaping ability, and don’t be surprised if he pays homage to some of his father’s iconic dunks. At this price, there’s legitimate value.

NBA Slam Dunk Contest pick

It was a close call between Richardson and Johnson for me, but there’s more evidence of Johnson throwing down explosive dunks in actual NBA games.

I’ve always believed that great in-game dunkers tend to translate well to this competition — think Vince Carter or, more recently, Derrick Jones Jr.

Boasting an insane vertical, I’m expecting some jaw-dropping slams from Johnson on Saturday night.

Best bet: Keshad Johnson (+320 at bet365)

Past Slam Dunk Contest winners

Year Player
2025 Magic Mac McClung
2024 Magic Mac McClung
2023 76ers Mac McClung
2022 Knicks Obi Toppin
2021 Trail Blazers Anfernee Simons
2020 Heat Derrick Jones Jr.
2019 Thunder Hamidou Diallo
2018 Jazz Donovan Mitchell
2017 Pacers Glen Robinson III
2016 Timberwolves Zach LaVine
2015 Timberwolves Zach LaVine

Players who have won multiple Dunk Contests

Player Years
Sixers Mac McClung 2023, 2024, 2025
Timberwolves Zach LaVine 2015, 2016
Knicks Nate Robinson 2006, 2009, 2010
Warriors Jason Richardson 2002, 2003
Heat Harold Miner 1993, 1995
Hawks Dominique Wilkins 1985, 1990
Bulls Michael Jordan 1987, 1988

Slam Dunk Contest trends

  • Michael Jordan, Jason Richardson, Nate Robinson, Zach LaVine, and Mac McClung are the only players in history to win the Slam Dunk Contest in back-to-back years.

  • At age 18, Kobe Bryant is the youngest player to win the Slam Dunk Contest (1997).

  • John Wall is the last player to make an All-Star team and win the Slam Dunk Contest in the same year (2014).

Pages related to this topic

Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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