Miami @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Nikola Jovic has committed 1.9 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.9 fouls per game last year. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Bucks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. Nikola Jovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance across the board.

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo slots into the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game at home this year. The Bucks will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Miami Heat). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Damian Lillard has put up a lowly 24.8 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 32.2 points per game last year. Over the last 25 games when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 17.9 points per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Bucks will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Miami Heat). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 9.6 clip, Damian Lillard's number of free throw attempts has fallen this year to 7.7 free throw attempts per game.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 10.0% of his three-pointers this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. The clash with Brook Lopez in regard to getting to the foul line registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year. Bam Adebayo ought to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Love slots into the 75th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 4.6 per game this year. The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). Kevin Love has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). Pat Connaughton has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's made overall this year with the home court advantage. As a team, the Bucks have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe: 2nd-best in the NBA this year with 25.9 foul shot attempts per game. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 20.1 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Jae Crowder has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a strong matchup. The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). As a team, the Bucks have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe: 2nd-best in the NBA this year with 25.9 foul shot attempts per game.

Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. comes in at the 75th percentile for field goals made, putting up a massive 5.0 per game this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile. The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense).

Relative to last season's 7.3 clip, Duncan Robinson's points per game have increased this season to 13.0. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.2 baskets per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, branding this as a positive matchup. The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez lands in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 5.1 per game this year. Brook Lopez has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). Brook Lopez has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense). Caleb Martin has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 8.5% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 94th percentile for shots when playing on the road, compiling 17.8 per game this year. Tyler Herro has successfully made 3.1 treys per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (8.0). The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Bobby Portis has successfully made 48.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 13.5% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year playing at home. Bobby Portis has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). Bobby Portis has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, Malik Beasley slots into the 92nd percentile for three-pointers sunk while at home, putting up 2.7 per game this year. Malik Beasley has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 77th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Patrick Beverley has gone over 4.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.