Toronto @ New Orleans Picks & Props

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 70.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.4% higher than he's made overall this season playing at home. In comparison to last year's 2.1 rate, Larry Nance Jr.'s personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 1.2. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Raptors). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the league at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's converted overall this year.

In contrast to last year's 62.5% rate, Jakob Poeltl's shooting efficiency has surged this year to 69.0%. The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a monstrous 62.0% of their shot attempts from the field (89th percentile). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Jonas Valanciunas has been quite high this year (3.4 free throw attempts per game when they are on the away squad: 75th percentile).

When it comes to shots from downtown, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 11.8 sunk threes per game places 7th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Pelicans are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.4). The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can result in extra chances for offense). Scottie Barnes will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Bruce Brown has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 23.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing away from home. Bruce Brown has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Jonas Valanciunas has made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Jonas Valanciunas has converted 40.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 12.2% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year at home. The faceoff with Jakob Poeltl lands in the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs draining a monstrous 46.1% of their 3-point shots this year. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Raptors). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the league at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III measures in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while playing at home, averaging 6.8 per game this year. In contrast to last year's 2.0 rate, Trey Murphy III's personal fouls per game have declined this year to 1.2. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Raptors). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the league at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Trey Murphy III will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

CJ McCollum has converted a whopping 3.4 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.8 mark last year. Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.2 minutes per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Raptors). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the league at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. CJ McCollum has made 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Immanuel Quickley ranks in the 81st percentile, registering a colossal 15.7 points per game this year. Immanuel Quickley has made 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season when playing on the road. Immanuel Quickley has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's played overall this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.5 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Raptors.

Brandon Ingram has compiled 21.3 points per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Out of all players in the league, Brandon Ingram comes in at the 75th percentile for 3-point ability while playing at home with a an excellent 40.1% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram ranks in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Toronto is a favorable one; when the Raptors are away from home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (23.9). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Raptors).

Gary Trent Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 11.8 sunk threes per game places 7th-worst in the NBA this year. The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can result in extra chances for offense). The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home (15th-least in the NBA).

Dennis Schroder has attempted 4.3 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 rate last season. Dennis Schroder has played 30.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Dennis Schroder has tallied a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 0.1 technicals per game last season. This year, opposing clubs have shot 34.3% on 3-pointers (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a challenging matchup. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Raptors.

Herbert Jones has sunk 58.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 20.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Raptors). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10thbest in in the league at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's made in all games this season. Herbert Jones will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player performance for all stats.

Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson rates in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year. The Pelicans check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. Over the last 15 games, the other team has captured 11.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors (retaining possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense). Compared to last year's 72.3% mark, Zion Williamson's free-throw ability has diminished this year to 62.3%.