Miami @ Toronto Picks & Props

Duncan Robinson has successfully made an impressive 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.7 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 29.1 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat. The Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Toronto Raptors check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Raptors will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Heat). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the foul line.

Nikola Jovic has sunk 55.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.7% higher than he's made from three overall this year away from his home court. Nikola Jovic has tallied 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9). The Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat.

Caleb Martin has converted 5.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing away from home. Caleb Martin has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat. The Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo has converted 0.0% of his three-point attempts away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

In contrast to last year's 8.0 mark, Jimmy Butler's shots hit have tailed off this year to 6.6 per game. Jimmy Butler has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. The matchup against Toronto is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1). The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry has converted 1.8 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat. The Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Lowry has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (15th-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Dennis Schroder has successfully made 54.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Dennis Schroder has tallied 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. Dennis Schroder has been called for a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 0.1 technicals per game last season. The Raptors have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 9thbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Immanuel Quickley has made 52.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 12.1% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Immanuel Quickley has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Raptors have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 9thbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Among all players in the league, Jontay Porter comes in at the 9th percentile for shooting efficiency with a a weak 30.8% rate since the start of last season. The Toronto Raptors check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. This matchup is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team has tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (42.0). The rate of 3-pointers drained against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low (20.8%) when guarding other starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Raptors will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Heat).

RJ Barrett has sunk 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's converted in all games this year. RJ Barrett has attempted 5.0 3-point shots per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. RJ Barrett has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Raptors have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Among all players in the league, Scottie Barnes slots into the 90th percentile for shots drained, compiling a monstrous 7.6 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Raptors have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 9thbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The Raptors have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 9thbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 25 games, their opposition has nabbed 9.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have attempted 19.0 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Josh Richardson has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.