Houston @ Miami Picks & Props

The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 15 games, the other team has attempted 21.3 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic slots into the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.7%). The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has made 58.1% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jeff Green has been on the court for 22.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has sunk 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this year away from home.

The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a difficult one; he has given up a mere 11.9 points per game when guarding other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game: 17th percentile).

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 29.6 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jae'Sean Tate has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games while on the road, 1.7 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road. The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The rate of three-point shots drained against Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been very low (30.8%) when guarding opposing starting SFs this year (23rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 77th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have put up 12.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). Jalen Green is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 38.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet has sunk 4.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Fred VanVleet has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 29.6 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 62.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.0% more than he's converted in all games this season playing at home. With respect to 3-pointers, the Heat's impressive 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 2nd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on shots from the field (22nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, resulting in a good matchup. This year, the other team has come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense). Kyle Lowry has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has posted 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.3 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. With respect to 3-pointers, the Heat's impressive 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 2nd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 threes per game (28th-most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a good matchup. This year, the other team has come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).

Amen Thompson has gone over 5.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Cam Whitmore has gone over 7.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Josh Richardson has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.