Final Oct 7
CHI 118 7.5 o229.5
CLE 117 -7.5 u229.5
Final OT Oct 7
IND 135 6.5 o220.5
MIN 134 -6.5 u220.5
Minnesota 3rd West65-33
Houston 11th West41-41
BSN, NBALP, Space City Home Network

Minnesota @ Houston Picks & Props

MIN vs HOU Picks

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MIN vs HOU Consensus Picks

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MIN vs HOU Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

Jeff Green
J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds

With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a mere 21.4 free throws per game this year (7th-least in the NBA). Jeff Green is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jeff Green

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a mere 21.4 free throws per game this year (7th-least in the NBA). Jeff Green is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Mike Conley
M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds

Mike Conley has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing on the road. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 90th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a a great 95.2% rate this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Mike Conley has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing on the road. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 90th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a a great 95.2% rate this year.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Naz Reid
N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds

Naz Reid has converted 1.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid comes in at the 89th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a remarkable 89.7% rate this year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Naz Reid has converted 1.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid comes in at the 89th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a remarkable 89.7% rate this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Nickeil Alexander-Walker
N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Karl-Anthony Towns
K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds

Karl-Anthony Towns has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (21.7%). The 8th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Rockets (retaining possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Karl-Anthony Towns has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (21.7%). The 8th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Rockets (retaining possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

Jabari Smith Jr.
J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds

In contrast to last year's 3.4 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s bricked 3-pointers have declined this year to 2.7 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

In contrast to last year's 3.4 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s bricked 3-pointers have declined this year to 2.7 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Rudy Gobert
R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.1 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged 11.1 3-pointers per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc sunk against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (42.1%) when he is playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (87th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.1 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged 11.1 3-pointers per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc sunk against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (42.1%) when he is playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (87th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

Fred VanVleet
F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 52.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 52.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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