Milwaukee 1st East58-24
Miami 8th East44-38
ESPN, BSN, TSN

Milwaukee @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Jrue Holiday
J. Holiday
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.7). The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks. The matchup against the Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the NBA). Jrue Holiday will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.7). The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks. The matchup against the Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the NBA). Jrue Holiday will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Khris Middleton
K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds

Khris Middleton has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks. Khris Middleton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

Khris Middleton has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks. Khris Middleton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Bobby Portis
B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds

Bobby Portis has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.1). The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks. The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game this year (13th-least in the league). Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Bobby Portis has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.1). The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks. The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game this year (13th-least in the league). Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Brook Lopez
B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds

Brook Lopez has sunk 8.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Brook Lopez has sunk 8.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Joe Ingles
J. Ingles
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds

Joe Ingles has made 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Joe Ingles has sunk 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Joe Ingles has made 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Joe Ingles has sunk 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Giannis Antetokounmpo
G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds

Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 30.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted 65.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's converted overall this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 30.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted 65.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's converted overall this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Grayson Allen
G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds

Grayson Allen has successfully made 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year on the road. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Grayson Allen has converted 88.9% of his free throw attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Grayson Allen has successfully made 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year on the road. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Grayson Allen has converted 88.9% of his free throw attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.46
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has gone over 20.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

Max Strus
M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.16
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Max Strus has gone over 12.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

Kyle Lowry
K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.81
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Kyle Lowry has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.98
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jimmy Butler has gone over 28.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Pat Connaughton
P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.91
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Pat Connaughton has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

Kevin Love
K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.82
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Kevin Love has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Victor Oladipo Points Scored Props • Miami

Victor Oladipo
V. Oladipo
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.49
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Victor Oladipo has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

Gabe Vincent
G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.07
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Gabe Vincent has gone over 11.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

Caleb Martin
C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.21
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Caleb Martin has gone over 8.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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