Miami @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Gabe Vincent has attempted 5.1 threes per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for threes; when the Heat are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (24.9%). The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a measly 63.6% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit less than his 72.0 rate last year. As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, tallying just 18.8 free throws per game.

Bam Adebayo has made 7.9 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has converted a terrific 9.1% of his 3-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 0.0 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has played 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Bobby Portis has posted 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's posted over the course of the year. Bobby Portis has converted 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (41.8%). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The Bucks have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Bucks. As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, tallying just 18.8 free throws per game. The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting squad (12th-least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this year. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The Bucks have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

Brook Lopez has sunk 7.9 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Brook Lopez has attempted 4.7 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.2 mark last year. Brook Lopez has played 28.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen has made 39.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus has attempted 7.1 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Heat. Max Strus has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Bucks may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (26th-most in the league).

Kyle Lowry has sunk 53.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 18.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage. Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing squads have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.7%). The Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Khris Middleton has successfully made 6.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.5%). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Caleb Martin has gone over 6.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Pat Connaughton has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jevon Carter has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Love has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jae Crowder has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.