Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Player Props

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Bo Bichette will have a tough challenge today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Bo Bichette's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.6 mph to 66.2 mph.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brooks Baldwin will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brooks Baldwin has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last 7 days. Brooks Baldwin has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 101.2-mph in the past week. Brooks Baldwin's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 43.9% on the season to 75% over the last 7 days.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, George Springer has a tough challenge in today's game. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. George Springer has been lucky this year, putting up a .379 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .033 deviation.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Chase Meidroth is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Meidroth has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Chase Meidroth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 94.2-mph of late.

Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for 22% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Nathan Lukes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Nathan Lukes's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81.2-mph over the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.5°, Nathan Lukes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.3°) in the last two weeks.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Andrew Benintendi will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Colson Montgomery will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colson Montgomery can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Colson Montgomery will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Josh Rojas is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 15.9% on the season to 19.2% in the past 14 days.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Mike Tauchman has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP. Mike Tauchman has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Mike Tauchman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Joey Loperfido will have the upper hand today. Joey Loperfido is notably quick, placing in the 87th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.81 ft/sec since the start of last season. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Joey Loperfido has notched a .335 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Edgar Quero has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Edgar Quero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games. Edgar Quero has put up a .335 BABIP this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will not have the upper hand in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 14.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 12.5% on the season to 0% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 42.3% to 49.2%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.366) suggests that Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Kyle Teel is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Kyle Teel will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Kyle Teel is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph average. Lenyn Sosa's launch angle lately (24.5° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 18.8° seasonal figure. Lenyn Sosa's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (17.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.9° angle last year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Addison Barger ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Addison Barger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Barrel% of Addison Barger has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.8% last year to 14.8% this year.

Ernie Clement's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 41.6% to 46.9%. Using Statcast data, Ernie Clement is in the 91st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .285. Ernie Clement has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 80th percentile with a 1.68 K/BB rate.

Davis Schneider has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.