Boston @ Minnesota Picks & Props

BOS vs MIN Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo Minnesota Twins logo o8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Red Sox feature one of the league’s best offenses. They sit tied for fourth in runs per game and have scored at least four in five of their last six, over which time they’ve piled up 31 runs in aggregate. The offense should continue to be there against Zebby Matthews. He has allowed 4.96 runs per nine innings over his last six starts. That’s an alarming number considering only one of them came against a Top-11 offense by wRC+, and only two came against teams that cracked the Top 20.

Total RBIs
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Abraham Toro logo
Abraham Toro o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Abraham Toro is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews in today's game.. Jarren Duran has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Ryan Jeffers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 13.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 19.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Romy Gonzalez logo
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Romy Gonzalez's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Romy Gonzalez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last year to 16.7% this year.. Romy Gonzalez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph EV.. Last season, Romy Gonzalez had an average launch angle of 5.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 9.9°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Connor Wong logo
Connor Wong o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Connor Wong has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .189 figure is quite a bit lower than his .252 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong has performed in the 81st percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded
Brayan Bello logo
Brayan Bello u17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 17 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 4th-best field in the league for BABIP.. The Minnesota Twins have 6 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in this matchup, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.. Brayan Bello will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Brayan Bello's fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this season (94.5 mph) below where it was last season (95.7 mph).. Among all SPs, Brayan Bello's fastball spin rate of 2185 rpm grades out in the 23rd percentile this year.
Total Bases
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Alex Bregman has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 89-mph figure.. Alex Bregman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.1° angle last season.
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BOS vs MIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

67% picking Boston

67%
33%

Total PicksBOS 273, MIN 137

Moneyline
BOS
MIN

BOS vs MIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Connor Wong has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .189 figure is quite a bit lower than his .252 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong has performed in the 81st percentile.

Connor Wong logo

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Connor Wong has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .189 figure is quite a bit lower than his .252 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong has performed in the 81st percentile.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Wallner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Matt Wallner logo

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Wallner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Brooks Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Brooks Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Romy Gonzalez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last year to 16.7% this year. Romy Gonzalez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph EV.

Romy Gonzalez logo

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Romy Gonzalez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last year to 16.7% this year. Romy Gonzalez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph EV.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews in today's game.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today's matchup. In comparison to his 88-mph average last year, Masataka Yoshida's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.1 mph.

Masataka Yoshida logo

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today's matchup. In comparison to his 88-mph average last year, Masataka Yoshida's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.1 mph.

Roman Anthony Total Hits Props • Boston

Roman Anthony
R. Anthony
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews today.

Roman Anthony logo

Roman Anthony

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage over Zebby Matthews today.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

Abraham Toro Total Hits Props • Boston

Abraham Toro
A. Toro
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Abraham Toro is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.

Abraham Toro logo

Abraham Toro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Abraham Toro is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ty France has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 97.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ty France has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 97.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Carlos Narvaez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 94.3-mph in the last two weeks. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Carlos Narvaez has notched a .322 BABIP this year.

Carlos Narvaez logo

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Carlos Narvaez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 94.3-mph in the last two weeks. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Carlos Narvaez has notched a .322 BABIP this year.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Alex Bregman has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 89-mph figure.

Alex Bregman logo

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Alex Bregman has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 89-mph figure.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Willi Castro's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Willi Castro's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Trevor Story has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 93.3-mph in the last two weeks.

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Trevor Story has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 93.3-mph in the last two weeks.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today.

Wilyer Abreu logo

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Royce Lewis has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph EV.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Royce Lewis has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph EV.

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Total Hits Props • Minnesota

DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
D. Keirsey Jr.
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. DaShawn Keirsey Jr.'s speed has increased this year. His 26.92 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.53 ft/sec now.

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. logo

DaShawn Keirsey Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. DaShawn Keirsey Jr.'s speed has increased this year. His 26.92 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.53 ft/sec now.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
All Red Sox Money Leaders

Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
All Twins Money Leaders
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