MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 13, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, Apr 13 • 4:10 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley o0.5 Total Home Runs (+980)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Michael Burrows in today's matchup.. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Michael Burrows in today's matchup.. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Luke Raley has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.7-mph.
View 4 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Mon, Apr 13 • 6:35 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jose Fernandez logo
Jose Fernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jose Fernandez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. In the past week, Jose Fernandez has posted a 26° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
View 8 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Mon, Apr 13 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Total
Washington Nationals logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo u7.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Paul Skenes vs. Cade Cavalli is a matchup prospect hounds would have been licking their chops for a couple of years ago. The Nationals offense is overperforming expectations so far, but Skenes can neutralize these bats. Meanwhile, I don't trust the Pirates to put up enough runs to clear this total.

Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 11th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
View 6 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Mon, Apr 13 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 1 Computer Pick
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Philadelphia Phillies logo u8.5 (-128)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Even if the Phillies jump on Cubs starter Javier Assad, Cristopher Sanchez has shown an ability to limit damage against even the best offenses. Chicago simply hasn't been one of them yet, either. This number is at least a run too high.

Total RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of the day.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today.
View 2 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Mon, Apr 13 • 7:05 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
View 7 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Apr 13 • 7:15 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 18th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #9 venue in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.
Total Bases
Graham Pauley logo
Graham Pauley o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Truist Park profiles as the #9 venue in the majors for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge today.
View 7 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Mon, Apr 13 • 7:40 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Roman Anthony logo
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Roman Anthony usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Target Field ranks as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 91.4-mph.
View 8 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Mon, Apr 13 • 7:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I also like the Under on 8.5, but the Guardians have the edge on the mound with Gavin Williams over Cardinals lefty Matthew Liberatore. The southpaw doesn't generate whiffs, and Cleveland doesn't offer many. Take the Guardians to BABIP their way to a road victory.

View Pick
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Mon, Apr 13 • 9:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nick Kurtz as baseball's 8th-best home run hitter.. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #4 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+132)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #4 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
View 2 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Mon, Apr 13 • 10:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.1% rate last year to 22.2% this season.
Total RBIs
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks.
View 3 Picks

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