San Diego @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today's game. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Joe Musgrove will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. Mookie Betts's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 88.6-mph over the past 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side this year. His .372 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .354.

The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.3-mph figure last year has fallen to 86.2-mph. Luis Arraez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 76.8-mph over the past 7 days.

Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.5% to 23.5%. This year, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.

The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days. Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has been lucky given the .014 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler today. The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Cronenworth has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 8th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Teoscar Hernandez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 15% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last two weeks.

When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Xander Bogaerts has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88-mph mark. There has been a significant improvement in Xander Bogaerts's launch angle from last year's 7.9° to 11° this year. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, compiling a .298 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .031 difference.

The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game.

Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Max Muncy will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Max Muncy's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (26.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 22.7° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Manny Machado has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the last two weeks. Manny Machado's launch angle of late (21.5° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 12.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Andy Pages will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Andy Pages has suffered from bad luck this year. His .306 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Jurickson Profar has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.2°, Jurickson Profar has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.8° figure over the past 14 days. With a .355 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jurickson Profar has performed in the 91st percentile for offensive ability.

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 95-mph in the last 7 days. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Donovan Solano has notched a .286 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Tommy Edman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, David Peralta will have an edge in today's game. The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.8% to 18.3%.

Enrique Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Miguel Rojas has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.