Houston vs Boston Picks & Props
HOU vs BOS Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team in action today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Kai-Wei Teng will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's game.. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team in action today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Isaac Paredes will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez today.. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (48% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Batters such as Isaac Paredes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ranger Suarez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Roman Anthony is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand in today's game.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.. Roman Anthony will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
HOU vs BOS Consensus Picks
HOU vs BOS Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MONEYLINE
|
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|
TOTAL
|
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|
SPREAD
|
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|
TOTAL HITS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
T. Story
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
0.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.93
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
B. Matthews
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
C. Durbin
(3B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
C. Walker
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
R. Anthony
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
C. Narvaez
(C)
0.5 Total Hits
0.70
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
D. Harris
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.92%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HITS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.75%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HITS
Y. Alvarez
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.19
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-7.9%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HITS
C. Correa
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-12.82%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
C. Correa
(SS)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
C. Durbin
(3B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
D. Harris
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.62%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
R. Anthony
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.88%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.89%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.81%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.32%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
Y. Alvarez
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
16.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
12.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
R. Anthony
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.88%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
6.13%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Narvaez
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.88%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.88%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.72%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
T. Story
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-2.37%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.54%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
B. Matthews
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.30
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
D. Harris
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.23
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.83%
EV
|
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|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Correa
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Durbin
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
W. Abreu
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.03%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
SPREAD
TOTAL HITS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.83
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.24%
EV
TOTAL HITS
T. Story
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
0.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.33%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.93
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.52%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
TOTAL HITS
B. Matthews
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
TOTAL HITS
C. Durbin
(3B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.99%
EV
TOTAL HITS
C. Walker
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.85
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.64%
EV
TOTAL HITS
R. Anthony
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.24%
EV
TOTAL HITS
C. Narvaez
(C)
0.5 Total Hits
0.70
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.24%
EV
TOTAL HITS
D. Harris
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.92%
EV
TOTAL HITS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.67%
EV
TOTAL HITS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.75%
EV
TOTAL HITS
Y. Alvarez
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.19
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-7.9%
EV
TOTAL HITS
C. Correa
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
1.06
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-12.82%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
C. Correa
(SS)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.35%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
C. Durbin
(3B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.6%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
D. Harris
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.62%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
R. Anthony
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.88%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.89%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.81%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.32%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
Y. Alvarez
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.65
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
16.01%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
12.95%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
R. Anthony
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.88%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
W. Abreu
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.63
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
6.13%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Narvaez
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.88%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Rafaela
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.88%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Duran
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.45
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.72%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
T. Story
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-2.37%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.54%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
B. Matthews
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.30
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.72%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
D. Harris
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.23
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.83%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Correa
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.36
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.63%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Durbin
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.02%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
W. Abreu
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.03%
EV
HOU vs BOS Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for this matchup