Detroit @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero today. Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Parker Meadows hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Parker Meadows has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 89-mph over the past week. Parker Meadows's launch angle in recent games (42.5° in the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 12.5° seasonal angle. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Parker Meadows has suffered from bad luck this year. His .272 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Nick Sogard will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Posting a .260 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Sogard has performed in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 18th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Riley Greene has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Riley Greene has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20.5° figure in the last two weeks.

David Hamilton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's matchup. David Hamilton has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Keider Montero today. Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 2nd-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Gleyber Torres will hold the platoon advantage against Connelly Early in today's game. Gleyber Torres has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nate Eaton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Nate Eaton will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year, Nate Eaton is very quick.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carlos Narvaez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Carlos Narvaez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week.

Wenceel Perez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wenceel Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Wenceel Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 22.2%. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14.1% to 20.7%.

Trevor Story's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trevor Story has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an edge in today's game. Dillon Dingler has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph average.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage against Connelly Early today. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 35% to 41.2%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jahmai Jones ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Jahmai Jones will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Andy Ibanez will hold the platoon advantage over Connelly Early in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) may lead us to conclude that Andy Ibanez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .224 actual batting average.