Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren today... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Colton Cowser has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 96.5-mph. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 18% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Coby Mayo's launch angle of late (25.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 21.3° seasonal angle.

Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Dylan Beavers will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Dylan Beavers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Dylan Beavers's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (24.7° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 16.7° seasonal angle.

Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Samuel Basallo will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Samuel Basallo has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks. Samuel Basallo has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .262 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. In the past 14 days, Jeremiah Jackson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph of late. Sporting a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jeremiah Jackson is positioned in the 84th percentile. Jeremiah Jackson has compiled a .284 batting average this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Gunnar Henderson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. In the past week, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today.

The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.8°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° figure last season. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year. His .218 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Jazz Chisholm Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 10% last year to 16.5% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Adley Rutschman has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph EV. Despite posting a .297 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adley Rutschman has had bad variance on his side given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Adley Rutschman's 26.2° mark (81st percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph average. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 37.6% on the season to 64.3% in the last two weeks.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Aaron Judge will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an edge today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an advantage in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Amed Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Amed Rosario will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Amed Rosario has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph figure.

Jackson Holliday has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Austin Slater has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.