Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jake McCarthy's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Yu Darvish in today's game. Jake McCarthy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.4% to 17.9%. Over the last 14 days, Jake McCarthy's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Ryan O'Hearn has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.8% to 47.4% this season.

Manny Machado's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today. Manny Machado has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 14 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Blaze Alexander's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Blaze Alexander is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Blaze Alexander has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 3.4% rate last year to 12.9% this season. Over the past week, Blaze Alexander's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph of late. With a .322 BABIP this year, Blaze Alexander is positioned in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last year's 89.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. By putting up a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability. Gabriel Moreno has posted a .292 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gabriel Moreno has posted a .276 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 20%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge today. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. James McCann has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph average. James McCann has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.7-mph figure. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 15.6% on the season to 31.3% in the past 14 days.

Ketel Marte projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Ketel Marte has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph. Over the last week, Ketel Marte's 65% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.6%. Ranking in the 96th percentile, Ketel Marte has put up a .375 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today. Corbin Carroll has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last year to 14.6% this year. Corbin Carroll has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph mark.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luis Arraez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 20%. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo is in the 88th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .280. In notching a .364 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Geraldo Perdomo is ranked in the 91st percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph average.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today. Freddy Fermin has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Freddy Fermin has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.2° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games. Freddy Fermin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (8.2°) is significantly better than his 4.9° mark last season.