Colorado @ San Francisco Picks & Props

Kyle Karros's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Kyle Karros has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 100.1-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Blaine Crim is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Blaine Crim has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 28.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the last week. Putting up a 95.8-mph average exit velocity over the past week, Blaine Crim has been in great form of late. Blaine Crim has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 42.9% of the time over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Hitters such as Ezequiel Tovar with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Trevor McDonald who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 43% to 49.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ryan Ritter has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brenton Doyle has had some very poor luck this year. His .281 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Jordan Beck has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week. Over the last 14 days, Jordan Beck's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph of late.

Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against German Marquez in today's matchup. Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 18.9%. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 18.9% on the season to 28.6% in the last 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .318 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willy Adames has had some very poor luck given the .021 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339. Willy Adames and his 23.8° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 100th percentile, among the highest in MLB this year.

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor McDonald in today's game. Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Mickey Moniak tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor McDonald. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. This season, Hunter Goodman has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.1 mph compared to last year's 92.7 mph mark. Over the last 14 days, Hunter Goodman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph recently. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Hunter Goodman's 58.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage today. Heliot Ramos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph average.

Jung Hoo Lee's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee will hold the platoon advantage over German Marquez in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jung Hoo Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) suggests that Jung Hoo Lee has had bad variance on his side this year with his .260 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Matt Chapman has posted a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Casey Schmitt will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .309 rate is a fair amount lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Drew Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez today. Drew Gilbert is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Drew Gilbert will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Drew Gilbert has been unlucky this year. His .257 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bryce Eldridge is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Bryce Eldridge will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Bryce Eldridge's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%.