Detroit @ Boston Picks & Props

The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Parker Meadows has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 90.8-mph in the last week. Parker Meadows's launch angle of late (35° in the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 11.6° seasonal figure. Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .273 rate is a fair amount lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 17th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Riley Greene has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Riley Greene has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.3° figure over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 8th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Gleyber Torres will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wenceel Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Wenceel Perez has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 20.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Carlos Narvaez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage today. Carlos Narvaez has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Javier Baez will have an edge in today's game. Javier Baez's launch angle of late (28.7° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 11.2° seasonal figure. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 35% to 40.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Dillon Dingler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today. Dillon Dingler has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.

The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Andy Ibanez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today. Andy Ibanez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .228 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .250 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jahmai Jones in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Jahmai Jones will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The #4 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.

Kerry Carpenter has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Zach McKinstry has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.