Tampa Bay @ Toronto Picks & Props

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Josh Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.2°, Josh Lowe has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 43° angle over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) suggests that Josh Lowe has been unlucky this year with his .221 actual batting average.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hunter Feduccia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Feduccia has been unlucky this year. His .237 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Yandy Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (5.3°) is considerably better than his 1.3° mark last year. Sporting a .358 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Yandy Diaz is ranked in the 87th percentile.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Bob Seymour will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 14 days, Carson Williams's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

Richie Palacios has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Richie Palacios hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) may lead us to conclude that Richie Palacios has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .309 actual wOBA. Posting a 1.42 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Richie Palacios has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Santander tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Santander has experienced some negative variance given the .068 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

When assessing his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an edge today. Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Chandler Simpson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 81-mph over the course of the season to 86.6-mph of late.

Addison Barger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Addison Barger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today. Brandon Lowe has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 7 days, Jake Mangum's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.3% up to 18.2%. Jake Mangum has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.3-mph average. Jake Mangum's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 40.1% on the season to 63% over the past 14 days.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement's launch angle recently (26.4° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 17.8° seasonal angle. Ernie Clement has compiled a .269 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Shane Bieber today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

Nathan Lukes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser today. Nathan Lukes is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. George Springer has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 16.5% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.400) suggests that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .370 actual wOBA.