Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Edgar Quero will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Edgar Quero has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an edge today. Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Over the last 7 days, Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Chase Meidroth will have an edge in today's game. Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Aaron Judge will hold the platoon advantage over Fraser Ellard in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 25.8% seasonal rate to 31% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fraser Ellard today. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 21.1% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week.

Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage against Fraser Ellard in today's game. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 37.8% on the season to 80% over the last 7 days. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance given the .021 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.7°) is significantly better than his 16.9° figure last year. Over the past week, Austin Wells's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has had bad variance on his side this year. His .215 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 17.9% on the season to 22.9% over the last two weeks.

Curtis Mead has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Colson Montgomery has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Will Robertson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Austin Slater has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Paul Goldschmidt has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jose Caballero has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.