Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Edgar Quero will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Max Fried in today's matchup. Edgar Quero has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Amed Rosario is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Fraser Ellard throws from, Amed Rosario will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage today. Amed Rosario has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph EV.

Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage against Fraser Ellard in today's game. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 93.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 37.7% on the season to 62.5% over the last 7 days. Despite posting a .290 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance given the .020 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 16.3% this season. By putting up a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jazz Chisholm Jr. is ranked in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Chase Meidroth will have an edge in today's game. Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.8°) is significantly better than his 16.9° figure last year. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 17.8% on the season to 31.3% in the last 14 days. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has had bad variance on his side this year. His .218 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an edge today. Lenyn Sosa has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Over the last 7 days, Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph in recent games. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last year's 12.4° to 18.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fraser Ellard today. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 21.1% seasonal rate to 40% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal mark of 18.4°, Cody Bellinger has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10.6°) over the past 14 days.

Curtis Mead has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Curtis Mead will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Placing in the 89th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Curtis Mead demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core talent for achieving a high batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Fraser Ellard throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an edge today. Paul Goldschmidt has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Aaron Judge will hold the platoon advantage over Fraser Ellard in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 95.6-mph EV.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Fraser Ellard throws from, Austin Slater will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Slater will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Slater has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last year to 15.1% this year. Austin Slater has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 88.2-mph EV.

Will Robertson has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jose Caballero has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.