Boston @ Toronto Picks & Props

The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe's launch angle of late (31.8° over the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 10.3° seasonal mark.

The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Carlos Narvaez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 9th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Romy Gonzalez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. This season, Romy Gonzalez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.3 mph compared to last year's 92.7 mph mark. Romy Gonzalez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage today. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (13°) is considerably higher than his 9.2° angle last season.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ceddanne Rafaela has experienced some negative variance this year. His .301 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup. With a .332 BABIP this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Trevor Story has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 28.07 ft/sec to 28.57 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). With a .331 BABIP this year, Trevor Story grades out in the 88th percentile.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Masataka Yoshida has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 92.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph mark. With a .363 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Alex Bregman is positioned in the 90th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. George Springer has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph mark.

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage today. Nathan Lukes has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.9% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .374 mark is considerably lower than his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Wilyer Abreu's launch angle from last season's 19° to 23.6° this year. Wilyer Abreu's 13% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Last season, Davis Schneider had an average launch angle of 23.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 29.2°. Davis Schneider has notched a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.3°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.4° figure over the last week. By putting up a .280 batting average this year, Ernie Clement is ranked in the 86th percentile.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Addison Barger will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Addison Barger has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph average.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game. Daulton Varsho has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 17.8% this year.

Anthony Santander has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.