Washington @ New York Picks & Props

WAS vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Josh Bell has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days.
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.. There has been a significant improvement in Francisco Alvarez's launch angle from last season's 6.8° to 11° this year.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.. Ranking in the 75th percentile, Mark Vientos has posted a .296 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Josh Bell has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Paul DeJong logo
Paul DeJong o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Paul DeJong will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Paul DeJong has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Riley Adams logo
Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Riley Adams is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Riley Adams has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez u1.5 Total Bases (-189)
Projection 0.82 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage over Francisco Alvarez today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jorge Alfaro logo
Jorge Alfaro o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Alfaro in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Jorge Alfaro will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.72 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Andres Chaparro will have the upper hand today.. Andres Chaparro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.9°, Andres Chaparro has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.4° mark in the last 14 days.
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WAS vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

64% picking NY Mets

36%
64%

Total PicksWAS 213, NYM 375

Moneyline
WAS
NYM
Moneyline
Total

73% picking Washington vs NY Mets to go Over

73%
27%

Total PicksWAS 286, NYM 105

Total
Over
Under

WAS vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Josh Bell has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Josh Bell has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 14 days.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Brady House has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last 7 days.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Brady House has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last 7 days.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dylan Crews ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Dylan Crews will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dylan Crews ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Dylan Crews will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 18%.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 18%.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. James Wood has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 97.5-mph over the last two weeks.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. James Wood has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 97.5-mph over the last two weeks.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington

Paul DeJong
P. DeJong
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
Best Odds

Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Paul DeJong will have an advantage in today's matchup. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Paul DeJong has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Paul DeJong logo

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.65
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.65

Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Paul DeJong will have an advantage in today's matchup. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Paul DeJong has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.85
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Brett Baty's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 108.2-mph in recent games. Brett Baty's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 46.6% on the season to 60% in the past two weeks.

Brett Baty logo

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.85

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Brett Baty's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 108.2-mph in recent games. Brett Baty's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 46.6% on the season to 60% in the past two weeks.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Jacob Young hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jacob Young has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.2-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph average.

Jacob Young logo

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Jacob Young hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jacob Young has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.2-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph average.

Andres Chaparro Total Hits Props • Washington

Andres Chaparro
A. Chaparro
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Andres Chaparro will have the upper hand today. Andres Chaparro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.9°, Andres Chaparro has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.4° mark in the last 14 days.

Andres Chaparro logo

Andres Chaparro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Andres Chaparro will have the upper hand today. Andres Chaparro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.9°, Andres Chaparro has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.4° mark in the last 14 days.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cedric Mullins's launch angle recently (26.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 23.1° seasonal figure. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 99th percentile with a 23.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Cedric Mullins logo

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cedric Mullins's launch angle recently (26.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 23.1° seasonal figure. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 99th percentile with a 23.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.03
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.03
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.03

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Riley Adams has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 49.7% on the season to 70.6% in the past 14 days.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.69

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Riley Adams has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 49.7% on the season to 70.6% in the past 14 days.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the past 14 days, Daylen Lile's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph of late.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the past 14 days, Daylen Lile's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph of late.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV. There has been a significant improvement in Francisco Alvarez's launch angle from last season's 6.8° to 11° this year.

Francisco Alvarez logo

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV. There has been a significant improvement in Francisco Alvarez's launch angle from last season's 6.8° to 11° this year.

Nasim Nunez Total Hits Props • Washington

Nasim Nunez
N. Nunez
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Compared to his seasonal average of 4°, Nasim Nunez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 15° angle in the past week. Nasim Nunez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .214 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nasim Nunez has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Nasim Nunez logo

Nasim Nunez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Compared to his seasonal average of 4°, Nasim Nunez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 15° angle in the past week. Nasim Nunez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .214 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nasim Nunez has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage today. Luis Torrens has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .225 BA is deflated compared to his .300 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 85th percentile this year. The standard deviation of Luis Torrens's launch angle this year (23.6°) is in the 100th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

Luis Torrens logo

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage today. Luis Torrens has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .225 BA is deflated compared to his .300 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 85th percentile this year. The standard deviation of Luis Torrens's launch angle this year (23.6°) is in the 100th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today's game. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.9% to 47.9%.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today's game. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.9% to 47.9%.

Jorge Alfaro Total Hits Props • Washington

Jorge Alfaro
J. Alfaro
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Alfaro in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Jorge Alfaro will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Jorge Alfaro logo

Jorge Alfaro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Alfaro in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Jorge Alfaro will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.99
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.99
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.99

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mark Vientos logo

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.96
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 18.8% this year.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.96
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.96

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 18.8% this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders

NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders
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