New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games. Colton Cowser has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last season to 16.2% this year. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (21.4°) is quite a bit better than his 13.2° angle last year.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 16.7%. Coby Mayo's launch angle recently (32.3° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 20.9° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Paul Goldschmidt has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.1-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Paul Goldschmidt's launch angle from last season's 12.8° to 16° this season. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 46.1% on the season to 65.2% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage today. Jackson Holliday hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 10.6% to 15.7%.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 25.9% seasonal rate to 32% over the past two weeks. Aaron Judge has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95.6-mph to 101.4-mph in the past two weeks.

Jose Caballero has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.4% seasonal rate to 40% over the past 7 days. Jose Caballero has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.4-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph EV. Jose Caballero has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 108.1-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.5-mph. Jose Caballero has compiled a .323 BABIP this year, placing in the 79th percentile.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Anthony Volpe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 37.4% on the season to 75% over the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Volpe's true offensive skill to be a .310, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .021 difference between that mark and his actual .289 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Kyle Bradish. Jasson Dominguez's quickness has gotten better this season. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.65 ft/sec now. This year, Jasson Dominguez has an average exit velocity of 91 mph, which is one of the best in baseball at the 75th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.7°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° figure last season. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.9% on the season to 36.4% in the last week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) provides evidence that Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance this year with his .216 actual batting average.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's game. Ryan McMahon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 95.6-mph. Last season, Ryan McMahon had an average launch angle of 10.7° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.5°.

Dylan Beavers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's matchup. Dylan Beavers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Beavers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 91.3-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish today. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.8% up to 27.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.8-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph lately. Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle this year (18.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.3° figure last season. With a .382 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Giancarlo Stanton is ranked in the 97th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's game. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jeremiah Jackson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jeremiah Jackson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph. Jeremiah Jackson has recorded a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Jeremiah Jackson sports a .284 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.9% on the season to 24.3% in the past two weeks.

Samuel Basallo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Samuel Basallo will hold the platoon advantage over Cam Schlitter today. Samuel Basallo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Samuel Basallo has had bad variance on his side this year. His .258 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's game. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Ben Rice has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV.