Washington @ New York Picks & Props

WAS vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
NM
Nolan McLean u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-141)
Projection 5.51 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Because of his large platoon split, Nolan McLean will be at a disadvantage matching up with 6 bats in the projected batting order who hit from the other side today.. Considering the 1.16 discrepancy between Nolan McLean's 9.56 K/9 and his 8.40 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse the rest of the season.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nolan McLean... and even better, McLean has a large platoon split.. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Outs Recorded
Cade Cavalli logo
Cade Cavalli u14.5 Outs Recorded (+122)
Projection 13.89 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cade Cavalli to throw 80 pitches in this game (8th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The New York Mets projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.. Projected catcher Riley Adams projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Given Nolan McLean's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Brady House logo
Brady House o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Over the last 7 days, Brady House's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph recently.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Brady House has had some very poor luck this year with his .237 actual batting average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.86 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nolan McLean... and even better, McLean has a large platoon split.. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 1.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.2-mph now compared to just 88.7-mph then.. With a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 83rd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.88 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Considering Nolan McLean's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Nasim Nunez logo
Nasim Nunez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.18 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Nasim Nunez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Nolan McLean) in today's matchup.. Nasim Nunez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nasim Nunez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309.. Nasim Nunez is notably quick, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.87 ft/sec this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Riley Adams logo
Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Riley Adams has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 97.6-mph in the past 14 days.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Riley Adams's 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.7%.. Riley Adams has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .191 figure is quite a bit lower than his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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WAS vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

72% picking NY Mets

28%
72%

Total PicksWAS 182, NYM 459

Moneyline
WAS
NYM

WAS vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Given Nolan McLean's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Given Nolan McLean's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Considering Nolan McLean's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.93
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.93

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Considering Nolan McLean's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.75
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Over the last 7 days, Brady House's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph recently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Brady House has had some very poor luck this year with his .237 actual batting average.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.75
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.75

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Over the last 7 days, Brady House's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph recently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Brady House has had some very poor luck this year with his .237 actual batting average.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Cavalli today. Extreme groundball bats like Cedric Mullins generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Cavalli. Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cedric Mullins's launch angle in recent games (27° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 23.1° seasonal angle.

Cedric Mullins logo

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Cavalli today. Extreme groundball bats like Cedric Mullins generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Cavalli. Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cedric Mullins's launch angle in recent games (27° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 23.1° seasonal angle.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.95
Best Odds

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean today... and even more favorably, McLean has a large platoon split. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.95
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.95

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean today... and even more favorably, McLean has a large platoon split. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dylan Crews has been unlucky given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dylan Crews has been unlucky given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Nasim Nunez Total Hits Props • Washington

Nasim Nunez
N. Nunez
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.66
Best Odds

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Nasim Nunez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Nolan McLean) in today's matchup. Nasim Nunez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nasim Nunez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309. Nasim Nunez is notably quick, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.87 ft/sec this year.

Nasim Nunez logo

Nasim Nunez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.66
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.66

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Nasim Nunez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Nolan McLean) in today's matchup. Nasim Nunez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nasim Nunez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309. Nasim Nunez is notably quick, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.87 ft/sec this year.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nolan McLean... and even better, McLean has a large platoon split. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nolan McLean... and even better, McLean has a large platoon split. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Because of Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Luis Garcia Jr. will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Because of Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Luis Garcia Jr. will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.2-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Jacob Young has had some very poor luck this year with his .234 actual batting average.

Jacob Young logo

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.2-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Jacob Young has had some very poor luck this year with his .234 actual batting average.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.77
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Robert Hassell III has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Robert Hassell III will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean in today's matchup... and even more favorably, McLean has a large platoon split. Robert Hassell III hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.77

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Robert Hassell III has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Robert Hassell III will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean in today's matchup... and even more favorably, McLean has a large platoon split. Robert Hassell III hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds

Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Mark Vientos logo

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brett Baty's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 95.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 91.7-mph in the last 7 days. Over the past two weeks, Brett Baty's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Brett Baty logo

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brett Baty's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 95.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 91.7-mph in the last 7 days. Over the past two weeks, Brett Baty's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.2-mph now compared to just 88.7-mph then. With a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

Francisco Alvarez logo

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.2-mph now compared to just 88.7-mph then. With a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.96
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.96
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.96

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Cavalli in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Cavalli in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today. Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 19% this season.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today. Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 19% this season.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today. Starling Marte has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph.

Starling Marte logo

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today. Starling Marte has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.64
Best Odds

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Riley Adams has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 97.6-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Riley Adams's 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.7%. Riley Adams has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .191 figure is quite a bit lower than his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.64
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.64

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Riley Adams has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 97.6-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Riley Adams's 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.7%. Riley Adams has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .191 figure is quite a bit lower than his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.83
Best Odds

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 47.7%. With a 1.01 K/BB rate this year, Jeff McNeil has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 99th percentile.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.83
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.83

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 47.7%. With a 1.01 K/BB rate this year, Jeff McNeil has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 99th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders
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