San Diego @ Chicago Picks & Props

SD vs CHW Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Yu Darvish logo
Yu Darvish u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 4.72 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yu Darvish is expected to throw 84 pitches in today's game, which is the 16th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.. The #6 park in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yu Darvish today.. Yu Darvish's 92.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.3-mph fall off from last season's 94.1-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for right-handed home runs.. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions on the slate at 79%.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for right-handed home runs.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Miguel Vargas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 16.7%.
Total RBIs
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions on the slate at 79%.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Yoendrys Gomez today.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Ramon Laureano logo
Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for right-handed home runs.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions on the slate at 79%.. Ramon Laureano pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand in today's game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions on the slate at 79%.
Total RBIs
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.2 mph compared to last year's 90.8 mph mark.. Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.74 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.. Colson Montgomery has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the last week.. In the past 14 days, Colson Montgomery's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22.6%.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (33.9) implies that Colson Montgomery has experienced some positive variance this year with his 43.4 actual HR/600.. Colson Montgomery has put up a .236 BABIP this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Andrew Benintendi logo
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions on the slate at 86%.. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today.
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SD vs CHW Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking San Diego

66%
34%

Total PicksSD 447, CHW 226

Moneyline
SD
CHW
Moneyline

SD vs CHW Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Andrew Benintendi
A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today. Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Andrew Benintendi has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 14 days.

Andrew Benintendi logo

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today. Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Andrew Benintendi has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 14 days.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.08
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Manny Machado has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. Manny Machado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 93.4-mph figure.

Manny Machado logo

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.08
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.08

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Manny Machado has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. Manny Machado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 93.4-mph figure.

Kyle Teel Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Kyle Teel
K. Teel
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.85
Best Odds

Kyle Teel's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Teel is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's game. Kyle Teel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Teel logo

Kyle Teel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.85

Kyle Teel's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Teel is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's game. Kyle Teel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Lenyn Sosa
L. Sosa
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.85
Best Odds

Lenyn Sosa has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph average. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last season's 12.4° to 18.2° this season.

Lenyn Sosa logo

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.85

Lenyn Sosa has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph average. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last season's 12.4° to 18.2° this season.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoendrys Gomez in today's game. Over the past week, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph recently. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 14.5% on the season to 24.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Jake Cronenworth logo

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoendrys Gomez in today's game. Over the past week, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph recently. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 14.5% on the season to 24.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Yoendrys Gomez today. Ryan O'Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 19.4% on the season to 30% in the last 7 days. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 40.8% to 46.2%.

Ryan O'Hearn logo

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Yoendrys Gomez today. Ryan O'Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 19.4% on the season to 30% in the last 7 days. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 40.8% to 46.2%.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Miguel Vargas
M. Vargas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Miguel Vargas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 16.7%. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Miguel Vargas logo

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Miguel Vargas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 16.7%. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • San Diego

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.

Freddy Fermin logo

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.21
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 5th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today's game. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 49.7% on the season to 64.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Luis Arraez logo

Luis Arraez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.21
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.21

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 5th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today's game. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 49.7% on the season to 64.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Ramon Laureano pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Ramon Laureano's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.6% up to 20%. Ramon Laureano has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 95.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Ramon Laureano logo

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Ramon Laureano pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Ramon Laureano's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.6% up to 20%. Ramon Laureano has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 95.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds

Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.2 mph compared to last year's 90.8 mph mark. Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph. Gavin Sheets has compiled a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 79th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gavin Sheets logo

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.2 mph compared to last year's 90.8 mph mark. Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph. Gavin Sheets has compiled a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 79th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Mike Tauchman
M. Tauchman
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.76
Best Odds

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Yu Darvish in today's game. Mike Tauchman has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman's launch angle of late (7.6° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 16.3° seasonal mark.

Mike Tauchman logo

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.76
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.76

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Yu Darvish in today's game. Mike Tauchman has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman's launch angle of late (7.6° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 16.3° seasonal mark.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.13
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been unlucky this year, posting a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .377 — a .027 deviation.

Fernando Tatis Jr. logo

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.13
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.13

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been unlucky this year, posting a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .377 — a .027 deviation.

Edgar Quero Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Edgar Quero
E. Quero
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Edgar Quero has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edgar Quero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Edgar Quero's 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Edgar Quero has put up a .337 BABIP this year.

Edgar Quero logo

Edgar Quero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Edgar Quero has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edgar Quero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Edgar Quero's 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Edgar Quero has put up a .337 BABIP this year.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage today. Jackson Merrill has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jackson Merrill has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 32.3% over the last two weeks.

Jackson Merrill logo

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.04
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.04

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Yoendrys Gomez throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage today. Jackson Merrill has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jackson Merrill has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 32.3% over the last two weeks.

Chase Meidroth Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Chase Meidroth
C. Meidroth
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Chase Meidroth has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Chase Meidroth will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Chase Meidroth has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 1.7% seasonal rate to 7.1% over the past week.

Chase Meidroth logo

Chase Meidroth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.92

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Chase Meidroth has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Chase Meidroth will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Chase Meidroth has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 1.7% seasonal rate to 7.1% over the past week.

Will Robertson Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Will Robertson
W. Robertson
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.61
Best Odds

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Will Robertson will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Will Robertson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Will Robertson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 16.7%. Will Robertson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 84.4-mph EV.

Will Robertson logo

Will Robertson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.61
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.61

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Will Robertson will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Will Robertson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Will Robertson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 16.7%. Will Robertson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 84.4-mph EV.

Colson Montgomery Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Colson Montgomery
C. Montgomery
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand in today's game. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Colson Montgomery's 97.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 96th percentile this year.

Colson Montgomery logo

Colson Montgomery

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand in today's game. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Colson Montgomery's 97.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 96th percentile this year.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • San Diego

Elias Diaz
E. Diaz
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.49
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Elias Diaz has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

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Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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San Diego Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sabster611 9-1-0 +23405
2 Infinite-H 8-2-0 +22730
3 Bigboys9 6-4-0 +20690
4 CJONES1068 8-2-0 +14925
5 Enelra18 5-5-0 +13770
6 Ollywood 8-2-0 +13087
7 dude18555 5-5-0 +13040
8 vlkvlk2012 2-8-0 +12910
9 Moneyman00 6-4-0 +12810
10 dawoodman 9-1-0 +12745
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Chi. White Sox Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 sbook 7-3-0 +23470
2 TAURO1954 8-2-0 +21740
3 meeksjc 7-3-0 +20575
4 OOOPA LOOPA 8-2-0 +18616
5 hangtyme 7-3-0 +16285
6 faustobaez 8-2-0 +15910
7 elpedro2007 5-5-0 +15780
8 theSleeper 9-1-0 +15690
9 salgundy 7-3-0 +14795
10 Kes 7-3-0 +14570
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