Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage today. Utilizing Statcast data, Brice Turang grades out in the 89th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .282. Posting a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brice Turang is positioned in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today. Jordan Walker has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95.1-mph. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 11.9% on the season to 50% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 83.3-mph average last year, Sal Frelick's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 85.5 mph.

Thomas Saggese's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Thomas Saggese's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.7% up to 11.1%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Thomas Saggese's 59.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%. In notching a .366 BABIP this year, Thomas Saggese finds himself in the 95th percentile.

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Victor Scott II's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.6-mph over the course of the season to 91.3-mph lately. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.3°, Victor Scott II has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.3° angle in the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) suggests that Victor Scott II has had bad variance on his side this year with his .215 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Christian Yelich has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season's 93.4-mph average. In the last week's worth of games, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 107.1-mph lately.

Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Caleb Durbin has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph to 87.1-mph over the last two weeks. Over the past 14 days, Caleb Durbin's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.5%. When it comes to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.49 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 89th percentile.

Blake Perkins hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Blake Perkins has put up a .311 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game. Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Brendan Donovan's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week. William Contreras has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 97.2-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. This season, Ivan Herrera has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.9 mph compared to last year's 91.5 mph mark. Ivan Herrera has put up a .286 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past week, Isaac Collins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 11.1%. Isaac Collins has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.59 K/BB rate. Posting a .330 BABIP this year, Isaac Collins finds himself in the 86th percentile.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.8-mph EV. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (28.3° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably better than his 18.9° seasonal mark. Nolan Arenado has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .021 deviation.

Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Jackson Chourio's launch angle from last year's 7.5° to 11.1° this year. Jackson Chourio has put up a .279 batting average this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today. Jake Bauers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph mark. Jake Bauers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.8-mph figure. Jake Bauers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 41.8% on the season to 54.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jake Bauers has shown strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 78th percentile with a 2.06 K/BB rate.

Andrew Vaughn has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nolan Gorman has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.